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死因推断:方法的转变。

Verbal autopsy: methods in transition.

机构信息

Umeå Centre for Global Health Research, Division of Epidemiology and Global Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, SE-901-85 Umeå, Sweden.

出版信息

Epidemiol Rev. 2010;32:38-55. doi: 10.1093/epirev/mxq003. Epub 2010 Mar 4.

Abstract

Understanding of global health and changing morbidity and mortality is limited by inadequate measurement of population health. With fewer than one-third of deaths worldwide being assigned a cause, this long-standing dearth of information, almost exclusively in the world's poorest countries, hinders understanding of population health and limits opportunities for planning, monitoring, and evaluating interventions. In the absence of routine death registration, verbal autopsy (VA) methods are used to derive probable causes of death. Much effort has been put into refining the approach for specific purposes; however, there has been a lack of harmony regarding such efforts. Subsequently, a variety of methods and principles have been developed, often focusing on a single aspect of VA, and the resulting literature provides an inconsistent picture. By reviewing methodological and conceptual issues in VA, it is evident that VA cannot be reduced to a single one-size-fits-all tool. VA must be contextualized; given the lack of "gold standards," methodological developments should not be considered in terms of absolute validity but rather in terms of consistency, comparability, and adequacy for the intended purpose. There is an urgent need for clarified thinking about the overall objectives of population-level cause-of-death measurement and harmonized efforts in empirical methodological research.

摘要

对全球健康以及发病率和死亡率变化的理解受到人口健康衡量标准不足的限制。全世界只有不到三分之一的死亡被确定了死因,这种长期存在的信息匮乏现象几乎只发生在世界上最贫穷的国家,阻碍了人们对人口健康的理解,并限制了规划、监测和评估干预措施的机会。在没有常规死亡登记的情况下,采用死因推断(VA)方法来确定可能的死因。为了特定目的,已经投入了大量精力来改进该方法;然而,在这些努力方面缺乏协调。因此,已经开发出了各种方法和原则,这些方法通常侧重于 VA 的单一方面,而由此产生的文献提供了不一致的情况。通过审查 VA 中的方法学和概念问题,可以明显看出 VA 不能简化为单一的一刀切的工具。VA 必须与背景相关联;鉴于缺乏“黄金标准”,不应根据绝对有效性来考虑方法学的发展,而应根据一致性、可比性和适合预期目的来考虑。迫切需要对人口死因衡量的总体目标以及实证方法研究方面的协调努力进行更清晰的思考。

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