Department of Population Medicine, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
Prev Vet Med. 2010 Jun 1;95(1-2):144-51. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2010.02.016. Epub 2010 Mar 31.
Using the spatial scan statistic with a Bernoulli model, in a comparison of the two most common canine uroliths, calcium oxalate (CaOx) and magnesium ammonium phosphate (struvite) we determined whether there was evidence of spatial and/or temporal clustering of each urolith type based on canine submissions from Ontario to the Canadian Veterinary Urolith Centre (CVUC) between 1998 and 2006. During this period, there were 10,478 canine submissions, excluding cases that were identified as recurrent. We were able to georeference approximately 93% of these incident cases. After adjusting for spatial and temporal distributions of dogs based on the demographic risk factors of age, sex, and breed-type, statistically significant spatial and temporal clusters were present for both CaOx and struvite urolith types. A purely temporal struvite cluster occurred between February 10, 1998 and December 20, 2001, whereas, a purely temporal CaOx cluster occurred between September 2, 2005 and December 21, 2006. Hypotheses to explain the spatial clustering of uroliths include variation in the spatial distribution of water hardness, diet-type, access to veterinary care, and the use of surgical versus medical therapies to treat these uroliths. Based on the cluster locations, water hardness was unlikely to explain the spatial difference between the two cluster types whereas variables related to human population density were more consistent with our findings; the CaOx cluster occurred in the highest population density area of Ontario, and the struvite cluster occurred in the lowest population density area of southern Ontario. The temporal struvite cluster at the beginning and CaOx cluster at the end of the study period reflect a similar trend away from struvite towards CaOx urolithiasis among both canines and humans in the developed countries of North America and Europe.
利用 Bernoulli 模型的空间扫描统计,我们比较了两种最常见的犬尿石,草酸钙(CaOx)和磷酸镁铵(鸟粪石),根据 1998 年至 2006 年间安大略省向加拿大兽医尿石中心(CVUC)提交的犬只数据,确定了这两种尿石类型是否存在空间和/或时间聚集的证据。在此期间,有 10478 只犬只提交,不包括被确定为复发性的病例。我们能够对这些新发病例中的约 93%进行地理参考。在根据年龄、性别和品种类型等人口统计学风险因素调整犬只的空间和时间分布后,CaOx 和鸟粪石尿石类型都存在统计学意义上的空间和时间聚集。1998 年 2 月 10 日至 2001 年 12 月 20 日之间存在纯粹的时间性鸟粪石聚集,而 2005 年 9 月 2 日至 2006 年 12 月 21 日之间存在纯粹的时间性 CaOx 聚集。解释尿石空间聚集的假设包括水硬度、饮食类型、兽医护理机会和治疗这些尿石的手术与药物治疗之间的空间分布变化。基于聚类位置,水硬度不太可能解释两种聚类类型之间的空间差异,而与人口密度相关的变量更符合我们的发现;CaOx 聚类发生在安大略省人口密度最高的地区,而鸟粪石聚类发生在安大略省南部人口密度最低的地区。研究期间开始时的鸟粪石聚类和结束时的 CaOx 聚类反映了一种相似的趋势,即北美的犬类和人类尿石病从鸟粪石向 CaOx 转变。