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多发性硬化症流行病学的人口统计学变化模式。

The changing demographic pattern of multiple sclerosis epidemiology.

机构信息

Department of Neurology, Aarhus University Hospital in Aalborg, Aalborg, Denmark.

出版信息

Lancet Neurol. 2010 May;9(5):520-32. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(10)70064-8.

Abstract

The uneven distribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) across populations can be attributed to differences in genes and the environment and their interaction. Prevalence and incidence surveys could be affected by inaccuracy of diagnosis and ascertainment, and prevalence also depends on survival. These sources of error might play a part in the geographical and temporal variations. Our literature search and meta-regression analyses indicated an almost universal increase in prevalence and incidence of MS over time; they challenge the well accepted theory of a latitudinal gradient of incidence of MS in Europe and North America, while this gradient is still apparent for Australia and New Zealand; and suggest a general, although not ubiquitous, increase in incidence of MS in females. The latter observation should prompt epidemiological studies to focus on changes in lifestyle in females. New insights into gene-environment and gene-gene interactions complicate interpretations of demographic epidemiology and have made obsolete the idea of simple causative associations between genes or the environment and MS.

摘要

多发性硬化症(MS)在人群中的分布不均,可归因于基因和环境及其相互作用的差异。患病率和发病率调查可能受到诊断和确定的准确性的影响,而患病率也取决于存活率。这些误差源可能在地理和时间变化中起作用。我们的文献检索和荟萃回归分析表明,多发性硬化症的患病率和发病率几乎普遍随时间增加;它们挑战了在欧洲和北美的多发性硬化症发病率呈纬度梯度的公认理论,而这一梯度在澳大利亚和新西兰仍然明显;并且表明女性多发性硬化症的发病率普遍增加,尽管并非无处不在。后一种观察结果应促使流行病学研究关注女性生活方式的变化。基因-环境和基因-基因相互作用的新见解使对人口流行病学的解释变得复杂,并使基因或环境与 MS 之间存在简单因果关系的观点变得过时。

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