Institute of Personality and Social Research, University of California-Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Pers Soc Psychol Rev. 2010 Nov;14(4):402-16. doi: 10.1177/1088868310361241. Epub 2010 Apr 30.
According to expectations derived from evolutionary theory, younger siblings are more likely than older siblings to participate in high-risk activities. The authors test this hypothesis by conducting a meta-analysis of 24 previous studies involving birth order and participation in dangerous sports. The odds of laterborns engaging in such activities were 1.48 times greater than for firstborns (N = 8,340). The authors also analyze performance data on 700 brothers who played major league baseball. Consistent with their greater expected propensity for risk taking, younger brothers were 10.6 times more likely to attempt the high-risk activity of base stealing and 3.2 times more likely to steal bases successfully (odds ratios). In addition, younger brothers were significantly superior to older brothers in overall batting success, including two measures associated with risk taking. As expected, significant heterogeneity among various performance measures for major league baseball players indicated that older and younger brothers excelled in different aspects of the game.
根据进化理论的预期,与年长的兄弟姐妹相比,年幼的兄弟姐妹更有可能参与高风险活动。作者通过对涉及出生顺序和参与危险运动的 24 项先前研究进行荟萃分析来检验这一假设。后来出生的人从事此类活动的几率比先出生的人高 1.48 倍(N=8340)。作者还分析了 700 名参加大联盟棒球比赛的兄弟的表现数据。与他们更大的风险承担预期一致,弟弟们尝试高风险的偷垒活动的可能性是哥哥们的 10.6 倍,偷垒成功的可能性是哥哥们的 3.2 倍(优势比)。此外,与风险承担相关的两个指标,弟弟们在整体击球成功率方面明显优于哥哥们。正如预期的那样,大联盟棒球运动员的各种表现指标之间存在显著的异质性,这表明哥哥和弟弟在比赛的不同方面表现出色。