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新的急性精神病学暴力风险筛查工具验证的第一步:住院环境。

The first step in the validation of a new screen for violence risk in acute psychiatry: The inpatient context.

机构信息

Centre for Research and Education in Forensic Psychiatry, Ullevål University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Eur Psychiatry. 2011 Mar;26(2):92-9. doi: 10.1016/j.eurpsy.2010.01.003. Epub 2010 Apr 24.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Instruments for evaluating the risk of violence towards others have mostly been developed for assessment of risk for recidivism into violent crime in forensic psychiatry. In general psychiatry there is a considerable need for specialised, brief and structured assessment tools to inform risk decisions.

METHOD

The study aimed to validate a brief structured clinical risk assessment screen of inpatient violence (V-RISK-10), a 10-item structured clinical checklist with a good vignette-based interrater reliability (ICC=0.87). In this study it was used for risk assessment of a one-year sample of patients (N=1.017) admitted to two acute psychiatric units. Risk assessments at admission were compared to prospective records of aggressive and violent acts during the hospital stay.

RESULTS

Results showed a base rate for aggression of 9%. The predictive validity of the V-RISK-10 was estimated by Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC). It yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83, with sensitivity/specificity of 0.81/0.73 and corresponding positive and negative predictive values (PPV/NPV) of 0.24/0.97. The screen was easy-to-use and showed a short completion time.

CONCLUSION

Despite promising results further validation studies are required before the V-RISK-10 is adopted into routine clinical practise.

摘要

背景

评估针对他人暴力风险的工具主要是为了评估法医精神病学中暴力犯罪累犯的风险而开发的。在一般精神病学中,需要专门的、简短的和结构化的评估工具来为风险决策提供信息。

方法

本研究旨在验证一种简短的结构化临床暴力风险评估筛查工具(V-RISK-10),这是一种 10 项的结构化临床清单,具有良好的基于事例的评分者间可靠性(ICC=0.87)。在这项研究中,它用于评估两个急性精神病病房的一年样本(N=1017)的风险。入院时的风险评估与住院期间攻击性和暴力行为的前瞻性记录进行了比较。

结果

结果显示,攻击的基础发生率为 9%。V-RISK-10 的预测有效性通过接收者操作特征(ROC)进行估计。它产生了 0.83 的曲线下面积(AUC),灵敏度/特异性为 0.81/0.73,相应的阳性和阴性预测值(PPV/NPV)为 0.24/0.97。该筛查工具易于使用,完成时间短。

结论

尽管结果有希望,但在将 V-RISK-10 纳入常规临床实践之前,还需要进一步的验证研究。

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