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[甘肃省经济增长与环境压力关系的动态变化:结构分解分析]

[Dynamic changes of the relationships between economic growth and environmental pressure in Gansu Province: a structural decomposition analysis].

作者信息

Zhang Zi-Long, Chen Xing-Peng, Yang Jing, Xue Bing, Li Yong-Jin

机构信息

College of Earth and Environment Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.

出版信息

Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2010 Feb;21(2):429-33.

Abstract

Based on the ideology of macro environmental economics, a function of environmental pressure represented by pollutant emission was built, and the relative importance of the driving factors in the dynamic changes of the relationships between economic growth and environmental pressure in Gansu Province in 1990 - 2005 was analyzed by using structural decomposition analysis (SDA) model combining with 'refined Laspeyres' method. In the study period, the environmental pressure in the Province was mainly caused by the emission of waste gases and solids in the process of economic growth, and showed a rapid increasing trend at the late stage of the period. Population factor had less impact on the increase of this environmental pressure, while economic growth factor had obvious impact on it. Technological progress did mitigate, but could not offset the impact of economic growth factor, and the impacts of economic growth and technological factors on the environmental pressure differed with the kinds of pollutants.

摘要

基于宏观环境经济学的思想,构建了以污染物排放为表征的环境压力函数,并运用结构分解分析(SDA)模型结合“细化拉氏”方法,分析了1990 - 2005年甘肃省经济增长与环境压力关系动态变化中驱动因素的相对重要性。研究期间,该省的环境压力主要由经济增长过程中的废气和固体排放所致,且在该时期后期呈快速上升趋势。人口因素对这种环境压力增加的影响较小,而经济增长因素对其影响明显。技术进步虽起到了缓解作用,但无法抵消经济增长因素的影响,且经济增长和技术因素对环境压力的影响因污染物种类而异。

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