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群体 SIR 模型中的脉冲接种策略。

Pulse vaccination strategies in a metapopulation SIR model.

机构信息

Division of Mathematics, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland, DD1 4HN, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Math Biosci Eng. 2010 Apr;7(2):455-77. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2010.7.455.

Abstract

We examine a model for a disease with SIR-type dynamics circulating in a population living on two or more patches between any pair of which migration is allowed. We suppose that a pulse vaccination strategy (PVS) is carried out on each patch. Conditions are derived on each PVS such that the disease will be eradicated on all patches. The PVS on one patch is assumed to be essentially independent of the PVS on the other patches except in so far as they are all performed simultaneously. This independence is of practical value when we bear in mind that the patches may represent regions or countries with autonomous public health authorities, which may make individual decisions about the days appropriate for a vaccination pulse to occur in their own region or country. Simulations corroborate our theoretical results.

摘要

我们研究了一种在两个或多个斑块上生活的人群中循环的 SIR 型动力学疾病模型,其中任何两个斑块之间都允许迁移。我们假设在每个斑块上都进行脉冲疫苗接种策略 (PVS)。推导出了在每个 PVS 上的条件,以使疾病在所有斑块上都被根除。一个斑块上的 PVS 与其他斑块上的 PVS 基本上是独立的,除非它们同时进行。当我们考虑到斑块可能代表具有自主公共卫生当局的地区或国家,并且可能对其自身地区或国家中发生疫苗接种脉冲的适当天数做出个别决定时,这种独立性具有实际价值。模拟结果证实了我们的理论结果。

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