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气候变化将影响亚洲水塔。

Climate change will affect the Asian water towers.

机构信息

FutureWater, Costerweg 1G, 6702 AA Wageningen, Netherlands.

出版信息

Science. 2010 Jun 11;328(5984):1382-5. doi: 10.1126/science.1183188.

Abstract

More than 1.4 billion people depend on water from the Indus, Ganges, Brahmaputra, Yangtze, and Yellow rivers. Upstream snow and ice reserves of these basins, important in sustaining seasonal water availability, are likely to be affected substantially by climate change, but to what extent is yet unclear. Here, we show that meltwater is extremely important in the Indus basin and important for the Brahmaputra basin, but plays only a modest role for the Ganges, Yangtze, and Yellow rivers. A huge difference also exists between basins in the extent to which climate change is predicted to affect water availability and food security. The Brahmaputra and Indus basins are most susceptible to reductions of flow, threatening the food security of an estimated 60 million people.

摘要

超过 14 亿人依赖印度河、恒河、雅鲁藏布江、长江和黄河的水资源。这些流域上游的冰雪储量对于维持季节性水资源供应非常重要,可能会受到气候变化的极大影响,但具体影响程度尚不清楚。在这里,我们表明,融水在印度河流域极其重要,对雅鲁藏布江流域也很重要,但对恒河、长江和黄河流域的作用有限。各流域之间还存在一个巨大差异,即气候变化预计将如何影响水资源供应和粮食安全。雅鲁藏布江和印度河流域最容易受到流量减少的影响,这威胁到约 6000 万人的粮食安全。

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