Institute of Health Economics, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Vaccine. 2010 Jul 26;28(33):5485-90. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.05.058. Epub 2010 Jun 8.
There are three different pneumococcal vaccines available for infants, each oriented to a specific set of serotypes. The vaccination of newborns will prevent pneumococcal disease in this vaccinated group via direct effects, and will also affect the non-vaccinated population through indirect or "herd" immunity.
To develop a model that compares the health and economic consequences between the three vaccines.
We developed a simulation model for an entire population, providing vaccine to children less than 2 years of age. The vaccines varied by serotypes covered and included a 7- (4, 6B, 9V, 14, 18C, 19F and 23F), 10- (1, 4, 5, 6B, 7F, 9V, 14, 18C, 19F and 23F) and 13-valent (1, 3, 4, 5, 6A, 6B, 7F, 9V, 14, 18C, 19A, 19F and 23F) vaccines. The base case was PCV-7, and clinical and economic outcomes were estimated for the vaccinated persons and for other persons through assumptions about a herd effect. By comparison, clinical and economic outcomes for the population were also estimated for the 10 and 13 serotype vaccines.
In the base case (PCV-7), with the seven serotype vaccine, there were 9.38 cases of hospitalized pneumonia, 0.22 cases of meningitis, 3.69 cases of bacteremia, 60.19 cases of otitis media, and 373 cases of pneumonia, per 100,000 persons in the population, at all ages. With the 10-valent vaccine and a herd effect, invasive pneumonia fell to 8.71 cases, meningitis to 0.21 cases, and bacteremia to 3.39 cases. Otitis media fell to 57 cases and pneumonia to 344 cases. There were further reductions with the 13-valent vaccine, with invasive pneumonia falling to 8.37 cases, bacteremia to 3.33 cases, otitis media to 51.9 cases and all-cause pneumonia to 336.2 cases. Among the vaccines evaluated, PCV-13 was associated with the lowest health services costs and the greatest improved health outcomes.
Increased serotype coverage of the 13-valent vaccine is expected to have a substantial public health and economic impact on infectious disease, when considering direct and indirect effects.
目前有三种不同的肺炎球菌疫苗可用于婴幼儿,每种疫苗都针对特定的血清型。新生儿接种疫苗将通过直接作用预防该接种组的肺炎球菌病,并通过间接或“群体”免疫影响未接种人群。
开发一种比较三种疫苗的健康和经济后果的模型。
我们为整个人群开发了一种模拟模型,为 2 岁以下的儿童提供疫苗。疫苗因涵盖的血清型而异,包括 7 价(4、6B、9V、14、18C、19F 和 23F)、10 价(1、4、5、6B、7F、9V、14、18C、19F 和 23F)和 13 价(1、3、4、5、6A、6B、7F、9V、14、18C、19A、19F 和 23F)疫苗。基础病例为 PCV-7,通过对群体中接种者和其他人的群体效应假设,估计临床和经济结果。相比之下,还根据 10 价和 13 价疫苗对人群的临床和经济结果进行了估计。
在基础病例(PCV-7)中,使用 7 价疫苗,每 100,000 人中有 9.38 例住院肺炎、0.22 例脑膜炎、3.69 例菌血症、60.19 例中耳炎和 373 例肺炎。使用 10 价疫苗和群体效应后,侵袭性肺炎下降至 8.71 例,脑膜炎下降至 0.21 例,菌血症下降至 3.39 例。中耳炎下降至 57 例,肺炎下降至 344 例。使用 13 价疫苗进一步减少,侵袭性肺炎下降至 8.37 例,菌血症下降至 3.33 例,中耳炎下降至 51.9 例,所有原因肺炎下降至 336.2 例。在所评估的疫苗中,PCV-13 与最低的卫生服务成本和最大的改善健康结果相关。
考虑到直接和间接影响,13 价疫苗血清型覆盖率的增加预计将对传染病产生重大的公共卫生和经济效益。