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氯吡格雷的重新评估:让数据说话。

Revaluation of clopidogrel: let the data speak for themselves.

作者信息

Liu Li, Zeng Fandian, Zeng Xiaohua, Xue Qingmei, Nie Shaoping, Kang Cailian, Wu Jianhong, Kang Qingyun, Wang Xingao, Liu Xiaoqing, Li Tao, Chen Jun, Li Qing, Xu Rong, Yang Xiaoyan, Kang Hui, Jiang Fagang, Li Zongtao, Wang Xuwu, Zhang Li, Long Yu

机构信息

Institute of Clinical Pharmacology, Department of Pharmacology, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, and Department of Radiology, Renmin Hospital, Wuhan, 430030, China.

出版信息

J Huazhong Univ Sci Technolog Med Sci. 2010 Jun;30(3):299-306. doi: 10.1007/s11596-010-0346-3. Epub 2010 Jun 17.

Abstract

Clopidogrel was believed to be superior to aspirin by the well-known CAPRIE trial. However, no other large clinical trials demonstrated the same results, but all focused on the combination use of clopidogrel with aspirin, and combination therapy in CREDO was called the "Emperor's New Clothes". However, no one overturned the results of these clinical trials by quantitatively analyzing them. We reviewed ten large-scale clinical trials about clopidogrel. On the basis of results of CAPRIE, CREDO and CHARISMA trials, we re-estimated their minimal sample sizes and their powers by three well-established statistical methodologies. From the results of CAPRIE, we inferred that the minimal sample size should be 85 086 or 84 968 but its power was only 30.70%. A huge gap existed. The same was also true of CREDO and CHARISMA trials. Moreover, in CAPRIE trial, 0 was included in the 95% confidence interval and 1 was included in the 95% confidence interval for the relative risk. There were some paradoxical data in CAPRIE trial. We are led to conclude that the results in CAPRIE, CREDO, and from the subgroup analysis in CHARISMA trials were questionable. These results failed to demonstrate that clopidogrel was superior to aspirin or that clopidogrel used in combination with aspirin was better than aspirin alone. The cost-effectiveness analyses by some previous studies were not reliable.

摘要

著名的CAPRIE试验认为氯吡格雷优于阿司匹林。然而,没有其他大型临床试验得出相同结果,所有试验都聚焦于氯吡格雷与阿司匹林的联合使用,而CREDO试验中的联合治疗被称为“皇帝的新衣”。然而,没有人通过定量分析推翻这些临床试验的结果。我们回顾了十项关于氯吡格雷的大规模临床试验。基于CAPRIE、CREDO和CHARISMA试验的结果,我们用三种成熟的统计方法重新估计了它们的最小样本量和检验效能。从CAPRIE试验的结果推断,最小样本量应为85086或84968,但其检验效能仅为30.70%。存在巨大差距。CREDO和CHARISMA试验情况也是如此。此外,在CAPRIE试验中,相对风险的95%置信区间包含0,也包含1。CAPRIE试验中有一些自相矛盾的数据。我们得出结论,CAPRIE、CREDO试验以及CHARISMA试验亚组分析的结果值得怀疑。这些结果未能证明氯吡格雷优于阿司匹林,也未能证明氯吡格雷与阿司匹林联合使用优于单独使用阿司匹林。一些先前研究的成本效益分析并不可靠。

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