Critical Care Department, Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Brazil.
J Crit Care. 2011 Apr;26(2):175-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2010.04.013. Epub 2010 Jul 8.
The aim of the study was to determine if acid-base variables are associated with hospital mortality.
This prospective cohort study took place in a university-affiliated hospital intensive care unit (ICU). One hundred seventy-five patients admitted to the ICU during the period of February to May 2007 were included in the study. We recorded clinical data and acid-base variables from all patients at ICU admission. A logistic regression model was constructed using Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, age, and the acid-base variables.
Individually, none of the variables appear to be good predictors of hospital mortality. However, using the multivariate stepwise logistic regression, we had a model with good discrimination containing SOFA score, age, chloride, and albumin (area under receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.73-0.87).
Hypoalbuminemia and hyperchloremia were associated with mortality. This result involving chloride is something new and should be tested in future studies.
本研究旨在确定酸碱变量是否与住院死亡率相关。
本前瞻性队列研究在一所大学附属医院的重症监护病房(ICU)进行。2007 年 2 月至 5 月期间,我们纳入了 ICU 收治的 175 名患者。我们记录了所有患者在 ICU 入院时的临床数据和酸碱变量。使用 Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment(SOFA)评分、年龄和酸碱变量构建了逻辑回归模型。
单独来看,没有一个变量似乎是住院死亡率的良好预测指标。然而,使用多变量逐步逻辑回归,我们有一个包含 SOFA 评分、年龄、氯和白蛋白的具有良好判别力的模型(受试者工作特征曲线下面积为 0.80;95%置信区间为 0.73-0.87)。
低白蛋白血症和高氯血症与死亡率相关。这一涉及氯的结果是新的,应该在未来的研究中进行验证。