Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee, India.
J Med Syst. 2011 Dec;35(6):1531-42. doi: 10.1007/s10916-010-9430-2. Epub 2010 Feb 20.
The prediction of burn patient survivability is a difficult problem to investigate till present times. In present study a prediction Model for patients with burns was built, and its capability to accurately predict the survivability was assessed. We have compared different data mining techniques to asses the performance of various algorithms based on the different measures used in the analysis of information pertaining to medical domain. Obtained results were evaluated for correctness with the help of registered medical practitioners. The dataset was collected from SRT (Swami Ramanand Tirth) Hospital in India, which is one of the Asia's largest rural hospitals. Dataset contains records of 180 patients mainly suffering from burn injuries collected during period from the year 2002 to 2006. Features contain patients' age, sex and percentage of burn received for eight different parts of the body. Prediction models have been developed through rigorous comparative study of important and relevant data mining classification techniques namely, navie bayes, decision tree, support vector machine and back propagation. Performance comparison was also carried out for measuring unbiased estimate of the prediction models using 10-fold cross-validation method. Using the analysis of obtained results, we show that Navie bayes is the best predictor with an accuracy of 97.78% on the holdout samples, further, both the decision tree and support vector machine (SVM) techniques demonstrated an accuracy of 96.12%, and back propagation technique resulted in achieving accuracy of 95%.
目前,预测烧伤患者的存活率仍是一个难以解决的问题。本研究构建了一个烧伤患者的预测模型,并评估了其准确预测存活率的能力。我们比较了不同的数据挖掘技术,根据医疗领域信息分析中使用的不同指标,评估了各种算法的性能。通过注册医生的帮助,评估了获得的结果的正确性。该数据集是从印度的 SRT(斯瓦米·拉马纳特·提尔)医院收集的,这是亚洲最大的农村医院之一。数据集包含了 180 名主要因烧伤而住院的患者记录,这些患者的烧伤部位分布在身体的 8 个不同部位,收集时间是从 2002 年到 2006 年。特征包括患者的年龄、性别和身体 8 个不同部位的烧伤百分比。通过对重要的相关数据挖掘分类技术,如朴素贝叶斯、决策树、支持向量机和反向传播的严格比较研究,开发了预测模型。还使用 10 折交叉验证方法进行了性能比较,以衡量预测模型的无偏估计。通过对结果的分析,我们表明朴素贝叶斯是最好的预测器,在保持样本上的准确率为 97.78%,进一步表明决策树和支持向量机(SVM)技术的准确率为 96.12%,反向传播技术的准确率为 95%。