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泰国的精神分裂症:患病率和疾病负担。

Schizophrenia in Thailand: prevalence and burden of disease.

机构信息

Setting Priorities Using Information on Cost-Effectiveness (SPICE) project, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand.

出版信息

Popul Health Metr. 2010 Aug 17;8:24. doi: 10.1186/1478-7954-8-24.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

A previous estimate of the burden of schizophrenia in Thailand relied on epidemiological estimates from elsewhere. The aim of this study is to estimate the prevalence and disease burden of schizophrenia in Thailand using local data sources that recently have become available.

METHODS

The prevalence of schizophrenia was estimated from a community mental health survey supplemented by a count of hospital admissions. Using data from recent meta-analyses of the risk of mortality and remission, we derived incidence and average duration using DisMod software. We used treated disability weights based on patient and clinician ratings from our own local survey of patients in contact with mental health services and applied methods from Australian Burden of Disease and cost-effectiveness studies. We applied untreated disability weights from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Uncertainty analysis was conducted using Monte Carlo simulation.

RESULTS

The prevalence of schizophrenia at ages 15-59 in the Thai population was 8.8 per 1,000 (95% CI: 7.2, 10.6) with a male-to-female ratio of 1.1-to-1. The disability weights from local data were somewhat lower than the GBD weights. The disease burden in disability-adjusted life years was similar in men (70,000; 95% CI: 64,000, 77, 000) and women (75,000; 95% CI: 69,000, 83,000). The impact of using the lower Thai disability weights on the DALY estimates was small in comparison to the uncertainty in prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevalence of schizophrenia was more critical to an accurate estimate of burden of disease in Thailand than variations in disability weights.

摘要

背景

之前对泰国精神分裂症负担的估计依赖于其他地方的流行病学估计。本研究的目的是使用最近可用的本地数据源来估计泰国精神分裂症的患病率和疾病负担。

方法

通过社区心理健康调查进行患病率估计,并补充医院入院人数的计算。利用最近对死亡率和缓解率进行的荟萃分析的数据,我们使用 DisMod 软件得出发病率和平均持续时间。我们使用了来自我们自己对接触精神卫生服务的患者的本地调查的患者和临床医生的评分得出的治疗残疾权重,并应用了澳大利亚疾病负担和成本效益研究中的方法。我们应用了来自全球疾病负担(GBD)研究的未治疗残疾权重。使用蒙特卡罗模拟进行不确定性分析。

结果

泰国 15-59 岁人群中精神分裂症的患病率为每 1000 人 8.8 人(95%CI:7.2,10.6),男女比例为 1.1 比 1。来自本地数据的残疾权重略低于 GBD 权重。残疾调整生命年中的疾病负担在男性(70,000;95%CI:64,000,77,000)和女性(75,000;95%CI:69,000,83,000)中相似。与患病率的不确定性相比,使用较低的泰国残疾权重对 DALY 估计的影响较小。

结论

与残疾权重的变化相比,精神分裂症的患病率对泰国疾病负担的准确估计更为关键。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/12b7/2936278/8893d936f37e/1478-7954-8-24-1.jpg

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