Prognostic significance of Ki-67 labeling index after short-term presurgical tamoxifen in women with ER-positive breast cancer.

BACKGROUND

Studies have shown that Ki-67 response after short-term neoadjuvant aromatase inhibitors may predict recurrence in postmenopausal breast cancer, whereas its prognostic effect in premenopausal women is unknown.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We compared the prognostic and predictive value of baseline and post-treatment Ki-67 in 120 pre- and postmenopausal women with early-stage estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer who participated in a 4-week presurgical trial of tamoxifen.

RESULTS

After 7.2 years of follow-up, women with post-treatment Ki-67 in the second (14%-19%), third (20%-29%) and top (≥30%) quartiles had a recurrence hazard ratio of 2.92 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.95-8.96], 4.37 (1.56-12.25) and 6.05 (2.07-17.65), respectively, as compared with those in the bottom quartile (<14%) (P-trend = 0.001). The risk of invasive disease recurrence was 2.2% (95% CI 0.9-5.0) per point increase in baseline Ki-67 (P-trend = 0.076) and 5.0% (95% CI 2.3-7.7) per point increase in post-tamoxifen Ki-67 (P-trend < 0.001). The risk of death was 5.5 (95% CI 1.26-23.16) times higher in patients with post-drug Ki-67 ≥20% than in those with Ki-67 <20% (P-trend = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Ki-67 response after short-term neoadjuvant tamoxifen is a good predictor of recurrence-free survival and overall survival, further supporting its use as surrogate biomarker to personalize adjuvant treatment and to screen novel drugs cost-effectively.