Seidman College of Business, Department of Economics, Grand Valley State University.
Urban Stud. 2010;47(10):2173-93. doi: 10.1177/0042098009356126.
This paper presents an empirical study of the effects of urban growth controls on the intercity commuting of workers. Growth controls (land use regulations that attempt to restrict population growth and urban sprawl) have increased housing prices and diverted population growth to uncontrolled cities. It has been suggested that resulting changes in local labour supply might stimulate intercity commuting from uncontrolled to controlled cities. To test this hypothesis, a gravity model of commuting flows between places in California is estimated using alternative econometric methods (OLS, Heckman selection and count-data). The possibility of spatial dependence in commuting flows is also taken into consideration. Results suggest larger commuting flows to destination places that restrict residential growth.
本文对城市增长控制对工人城际通勤的影响进行了实证研究。增长控制（试图限制人口增长和城市扩张的土地使用法规）推高了房价，并促使人口增长转移到不受控制的城市。有人认为，当地劳动力供应的变化可能会刺激从不受控制的城市到控制城市的城际通勤。为了检验这一假设，使用替代计量经济学方法（OLS、Heckman 选择和计数数据）对加利福尼亚州各地区之间通勤流量的引力模型进行了估计。还考虑了通勤流量的空间相关性的可能性。结果表明，流向限制住宅增长的目的地的通勤流量更大。
