Prognostic impact of atrial fibrillation progression in a community study: AFBAR Study (Atrial Fibrillation in the Barbanza Area Study).

INTRODUCTION

The aim of the study is to describe the natural history of an unselected population of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) currently attending primary care services in a single health-service area in Galicia, north-western Spain.

METHODS

AFBAR is a transverse prospective study in which 35 general practitioners within one health-service area have enrolled patients diagnosed with AF who presented at their clinics during a three-month recruiting period. Primary endpoints are mortality or hospital admission. Here we report the results of the first 7-month follow-up period.

RESULTS

798 patients (421 male) were recruited; mean age of cohort was 75 years old. Hypertension was the most prevalent risk factor (77%). 87% of the patients were both overweight and obese. Permanent AF was diagnosed in 549 patients (69%). In the follow-up period, 16.4% of the patients underwent a primary endpoint and the overall survival was 98%. The following independent determinants of primary endpoint were identified: change in AF status (Hazard Ratio (HR) 2.89 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.28-6.55); p=0.011); ischemic heart disease (IHD) (HR 2.78 (95% CI 1.51-5.13); p=0.001); pre-recruitment hospital admission (HR 2.22 (95% CI 1.18-4.19); p=0.013); left ventricular systolic dysfunction (HR 2.19 (95% CI 1.11-4.32); p=0.023); or AF-related complications (HR 1.98 (95% CI 1.10-3.56); p=0.022).

CONCLUSIONS

In the first 7-month follow-up period of patients with AF in a primary care setting the study identified several independent risk factors for mortality or hospital admission, i.e. change in AF status, ischemic heart disease, left ventricular systolic dysfunction, previous AF-related complications and hospital admission.