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赌博中的认知偏差与决策

Cognitive biases and decision making in gambling.

作者信息

Chóliz Mariano

机构信息

Departament of Psicología Básica, University of Valencia, Avda Blasco Ibáñez, 21., 46010-Valencia, Spain.

出版信息

Psychol Rep. 2010 Aug;107(1):15-24. doi: 10.2466/02.09.18.22.PR0.107.4.15-24.

Abstract

Heuristics and cognitive biases can occur in reasoning and decision making. Some of them are very common in gamblers (illusion of control, representativeness, availability, etc.). Structural characteristics and functioning of games of chance favor the appearance of these biases. Two experiments were conducted with nonpathological gamblers. The first experiment was a game of dice with wagers. In the second experiment, the participants played two bingo games. Specific rules of the games favored the appearance of cognitive bias (illusion of control) and heuristics (representativeness and availability) and influence on the bets. Results and implications for gambling are discussed.

摘要

启发式思维和认知偏差可能出现在推理和决策过程中。其中一些在赌徒中非常常见(控制错觉、代表性、可得性等)。机会性游戏的结构特征和运作方式有利于这些偏差的出现。对非病态赌徒进行了两项实验。第一个实验是一场带下注的掷骰子游戏。在第二个实验中,参与者玩了两场宾果游戏。游戏的特定规则有利于认知偏差(控制错觉)和启发式思维(代表性和可得性)的出现,并影响下注。讨论了实验结果及其对赌博的启示。

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