University Hospitals of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Oncologist. 2010;15(10):1050-62. doi: 10.1634/theoncologist.2010-0044. Epub 2010 Oct 7.
The purpose of this article was to examine the relationship between age and lymph node ratio (LNR, number of positive nodes divided by number of examined nodes), and to determine their effects on breast cancer (BC) and overall mortality.
Women aged ≥50 years, diagnosed in 1988-1997 with a unilateral histologically confirmed T1-T2 node positive surgically treated primary nonmetastatic BC, were selected from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER). Generalized Additive Models for Location Scale and Shape (GAMLSS) were used to evaluate the age-LNR relationship. Cumulative incidence functions and multivariate competing risks analysis based on model selection by the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) were used to examine the effect of age and LNR on mortality. Low LNR was defined as ≤0.20, mid-LNR 0.21-0.65, and high LNR >0.65.
GAMLSS showed a nonlinear LNR-age relationship, increasing from mean LNR 0.26-0.28 at age 50-70 years to 0.30 at 80 years and 0.40 at 90 years. Compared with a 9.8% [95% confidence interval (CI) 8.8%-10.8%] risk of BC death at 5 years in women aged 50-59 years with low LNR, the risk in women ≥80 years with low LNR was 12.6% [95% CI 10.1%-15.0%], mid-LNR 18.1% [13.9%-22.1%], high LNR 29.8% [22.7%-36.1%]. Five-years overall risk of death increased from 40.8% [37.5%-43.9%] by low LNR to 67.4% [61.4%-72.4%] by high LNR. The overall mortality hazard ratio for age ≥80 years with high LNR was 7.49 [6.54-8.59], as compared with women aged 50-59 years with low LNR.
High LNR combined with older age was associated with a threefold increased risk of BC death and a sevenfold increased hazard ratio of overall mortality.
本文旨在研究年龄与淋巴结比率(LNR,阳性淋巴结数与检查淋巴结数之比)之间的关系,并确定它们对乳腺癌(BC)和总死亡率的影响。
从美国国家癌症研究所的监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中选择了 1988-1997 年间诊断为单侧组织学证实的 T1-T2 期阳性淋巴结、手术治疗的原发性非转移性局部乳腺癌且年龄≥50 岁的女性。使用广义加性模型(GAMLSS)来评估年龄-LNR 关系。基于贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)模型选择的累积发生率函数和多变量竞争风险分析用于检验年龄和 LNR 对死亡率的影响。低 LNR 定义为≤0.20,中 LNR 为 0.21-0.65,高 LNR 为>0.65。
GAMLSS 显示 LNR 与年龄之间呈非线性关系,从 50-70 岁时的平均 LNR 0.26-0.28 增加到 80 岁时的 0.30 和 90 岁时的 0.40。与低 LNR 的 50-59 岁女性 5 年 BC 死亡风险为 9.8%(95%置信区间为 8.8%-10.8%)相比,低 LNR 的≥80 岁女性的风险为 12.6%(95%置信区间为 10.1%-15.0%),中 LNR 为 18.1%(13.9%-22.1%),高 LNR 为 29.8%(22.7%-36.1%)。低 LNR 的 5 年总死亡风险从 40.8%(37.5%-43.9%)增加到高 LNR 的 67.4%(61.4%-72.4%)。高 LNR 且年龄≥80 岁的总体死亡率与低 LNR 的 50-59 岁女性相比,危险比为 7.49(6.54-8.59)。
高 LNR 结合高龄与 BC 死亡风险增加三倍和总死亡率的危险比增加七倍相关。