Xie Jing-Dun, Chen Fu, He Yao-Xuan, Chen Xiao-Di, Zhang Guo-Ye, Li Zhi-Kun, Hong Jing, Xie Dan, Cai Mu-Yan
Department of Anesthesiology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
Department of Clinical Laboratory, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
Oncotarget. 2016 Oct 4;7(40):66170-66181. doi: 10.18632/oncotarget.10818.
Age at diagnosis has been found to be a prognostic factor of outcomes in various cancers. However, the effect of age at diagnosis on nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) progression has not been explored. We retrospectively evaluated the relationship between age and disease progression in 3,153 NPC patients who underwent radiotherapy, chemotherapy, or chemoradiotherapy between 2007 and 2009. Patients were randomly assigned to either a testing cohort or a validation cohort by computer-generated random assignment. X-tile plots determined the optimal cut-point of age based on survival status to be ≤61 vs. >61 years. Further correlation analysis showed that age >61 years was significantly correlated with the tumor progression and therapeutic regimen in both testing and validation cohorts (P <0.05). In the present study, we observed that older age (>61 years) was a strong and independent predictor of poor disease-free survival (DFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), in both univariate and multivariate analyses. Age was also found to be a significant prognostic predictor as well (P <0.05) when evaluating patients with the same disease stage. ROC analysis confirmed the predictive value of age on NPC-specific survival in both cohorts (P <0.001) and suggested that age may improve the ability to discriminate outcomes in NPCs, especially regarding tumor progression. In conclusion, our study suggests that older age at NPC diagnosis is associated with a higher incidence of tumor progression and cancer-specific mortality. Age is a strong and independent predictor of poor outcomes and may allow for more tailored therapeutic decision-making and individualized patient counseling.
已发现确诊年龄是多种癌症预后的一个因素。然而,确诊年龄对鼻咽癌(NPC)进展的影响尚未得到探讨。我们回顾性评估了2007年至2009年间接受放疗、化疗或放化疗的3153例NPC患者年龄与疾病进展之间的关系。通过计算机生成随机分配将患者随机分为测试队列或验证队列。X-tile图根据生存状态确定年龄的最佳切点为≤61岁与>61岁。进一步的相关性分析表明,在测试队列和验证队列中,>61岁均与肿瘤进展和治疗方案显著相关(P<0.05)。在本研究中,我们观察到,在单变量和多变量分析中,年龄较大(>61岁)是无病生存期(DFS)和癌症特异性生存期(CSS)较差的一个强有力的独立预测因素。在评估处于相同疾病阶段的患者时,年龄也是一个显著的预后预测因素(P<0.05)。ROC分析证实了年龄在两个队列中对NPC特异性生存的预测价值(P<0.001),并表明年龄可能提高区分NPC预后的能力,尤其是在肿瘤进展方面。总之,我们的研究表明,NPC诊断时年龄较大与肿瘤进展和癌症特异性死亡率的较高发生率相关。年龄是预后不良的一个强有力的独立预测因素,可能有助于做出更具针对性的治疗决策和为患者提供个性化咨询。