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媒体报道铁路事故后铁路自杀事件增加了吗?对 747 例自杀事件的生态学研究。

Increasing railway suicide acts after media coverage of a fatal railway accident? An ecological study of 747 suicidal acts.

机构信息

Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Epidemiology, Neuherberg, Germany.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2011 Sep;65(9):825-8. doi: 10.1136/jech.2009.098293. Epub 2010 Oct 19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

While coverage of a celebrity suicide in the mass media may trigger copycat suicides, evidence for the effect of media reports of non-prominent suicides is moderate. Diversification of current media may raise further doubts as to whether their influence on suicidal acts is still present. We examined whether widespread media coverage of a railway accident, in which several people were killed while investigating a presumed railway suicide, subsequently increased the number of railway suicides.

METHODS

The daily incidence of railway suicides was derived from the national accident registry on the German railway net. We estimated incidence ratios by Poisson regression, adjusting for relevant confounders (eg, outdoor temperature, unemployment rate), for the 2 months following the accident (predefined index period) and predefined control periods (preceding 2 years of the same period and 1 month before/after the index period).

RESULTS

The mean number of railway suicides per day in the index period increased significantly to 2.66 (95% CI 2.19 to 3.13) compared to 1.94 (95% CI 1.78 to 2.10) during both control periods. Fully adjusted Poisson regression showed a 44% daily increase in railway suicides in the index period compared to the control periods (incidence ratio 1.44, 95% CI 1.02 to 2.03). A maximum of eight suicides per day was reached about 1 week after the accident.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-fictional media coverage of a fatal accident appears to affect subsequent railway suicide numbers. Supposedly, media reports drew attention to railways as a means of suicide.

摘要

背景

虽然大众媒体对名人自杀事件的报道可能会引发模仿自杀,但媒体对非知名自杀事件的报道是否会产生影响,证据尚属中等。当前媒体的多样化可能进一步引发人们的质疑,即它们对自杀行为的影响是否仍然存在。我们研究了在一次铁路事故中,是否广泛的媒体报道会导致铁路自杀事件的增加,在这次事故中,有几个人在调查一起疑似铁路自杀事件时死亡。

方法

通过德国铁路网的国家事故登记处获得铁路自杀事件的每日发生率。我们通过泊松回归估计了发病率比,调整了相关混杂因素(例如,户外温度、失业率),对事故发生后的 2 个月(预先定义的指数期)和预先定义的对照期(前 2 年同期和指数期前后 1 个月)进行了调整。

结果

与前两个对照期(1.78 至 2.10)相比,指数期内铁路自杀的平均每日发生率显著增加至 2.66(95%CI2.19 至 3.13)。完全调整后的泊松回归显示,指数期内铁路自杀的每日发生率与对照期相比增加了 44%(发病率比 1.44,95%CI1.02 至 2.03)。大约在事故发生后一周,铁路自杀的人数达到了每天最多 8 人。

结论

对致命事故的非虚构媒体报道似乎会影响随后的铁路自杀人数。据推测,媒体报道引起了人们对铁路作为自杀手段的关注。

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