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德国铁路自杀的稳定时间模式:对两个观察期(1995 - 1998年;2005 - 2008年)内7187例病例的比较分析

Stable time patterns of railway suicides in Germany: comparative analysis of 7,187 cases across two observation periods (1995-1998; 2005-2008).

作者信息

Lukaschek Karoline, Baumert Jens, Erazo Natalia, Ladwig Karl-Heinz

机构信息

Institute of Epidemiology II, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Centre for Environmental Health, Ingolstädter Landstr 1, Neuherberg 85764, Germany.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2014 Feb 6;14:124. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-14-124.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The majority of fatalities on the European Union (EU) railways are suicides, representing about 60% of all railway fatalities. The aim of this study was to compare time patterns of suicidal behaviour on railway tracks in Germany between two observation periods (1995-1998 and 2005-2008) in order to investigate their stability and value in railway suicide prevention.

METHODS

Cases were derived from the National Central Registry of person accidents on the German railway network (STABAG). The association of daytime, weekday and month with the mean number of suicides was analysed applying linear regression. Potential differences by observation period were assessed by adding observation period and the respective interaction terms into the linear regression. A 95% confidence interval for the mean number of suicides was computed using the t distribution.

RESULTS

A total of 7,187 railway suicides were recorded within both periods: 4,102 (57%) in the first period (1995-1998) and 3,085 (43%) in the second (2005-2008). The number of railway suicides was highest on Mondays and Tuesdays in the first period with an average of 3.2 and 3.5 events and of 2.6 events on both days in the second period. In both periods, railway suicides were more common between 6:00 am and noon, and between 6:00 pm and midnight. Seasonality was only prominent in the period 1995-1998.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the course of two observation periods, the weekday and circadian patterns of railway suicides remained stable. Therefore, these patterns should be an integral part of railway suicide preventive measures, e.g. gatekeeper training courses.

摘要

背景

欧盟铁路上的大多数死亡事故是自杀行为,约占铁路总死亡人数的60%。本研究的目的是比较德国两个观察期(1995 - 1998年和2005 - 2008年)内铁路轨道上自杀行为的时间模式,以调查其在铁路自杀预防中的稳定性和价值。

方法

案例来自德国铁路网络人员事故国家中央登记处(STABAG)。应用线性回归分析白天、工作日和月份与自杀平均人数之间的关联。通过将观察期及各自的交互项纳入线性回归来评估观察期之间的潜在差异。使用t分布计算自杀平均人数的95%置信区间。

结果

两个时期共记录了7187起铁路自杀事件:第一个时期(1995 - 1998年)有4102起(57%),第二个时期(2005 - 2008年)有3085起(43%)。第一个时期周一和周二的铁路自杀人数最多,平均分别为3.2起和3.5起,第二个时期这两天均为2.6起。在两个时期,铁路自杀在上午6点至中午以及下午6点至午夜更为常见。季节性仅在1995 - 1998年期间较为突出。

结论

在两个观察期内,铁路自杀的工作日和昼夜模式保持稳定。因此,这些模式应成为铁路自杀预防措施的一个组成部分,例如守门人培训课程。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/718b/3933256/f180acabde4b/1471-2458-14-124-1.jpg

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