The increased needs of patients in nursing homes and patients receiving home health care.

To evaluate the effects of Medicare's prospective payment system and Medicaid's preadmission regulations on long-term care, we constructed clinical profiles in 1982 and 1986 of about 500 randomly selected patients from each of three types of facilities: nursing homes with relatively high proportions of Medicare patients (high-Medicare nursing homes; n = 23), traditional nursing homes (n = 19), and home health agencies (n = 18). Data were obtained directly from the care givers on the medical problems, problems requiring skilled nursing, and functional problems of these representative patients from 12 states. For Medicare patients in high-Medicare nursing homes, the prevalence of medical problems and problems requiring skilled nursing increased substantially, whereas the prevalence of functional problems remained relatively unchanged. For example, from 1982 to 1986 there was a marked increase in the frequency of tube feedings (21 to 29 percent), oxygen use (6 to 14 percent), urinary tract infection (7 to 13 percent), and diastolic hypertension (1 to 10 percent), but not difficulty in eating (48 to 51 percent) or speaking (28 to 29 percent). In contrast, in traditional nursing homes there was an increase in the prevalence of functional disability, but virtually no change in that of problems requiring medical and skilled nursing care. In home health care the functional care needs of Medicare patients increased significantly, and there was a slight increase in the prevalence of problems requiring medical and skilled nursing care. We conclude that from 1982 to 1986 the needs of patients in long-term care increased substantially. This trend appears to result from Medicare's prospective payment system, which encourages earlier hospital discharge to long-term care settings, and from Medicaid's policy of de-institutionalization. Meeting this greater need for care will be costly. We require a better system of reimbursing for long-term care and ensuring its quality.