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评估以色列对儿童腹泻病负担的低估。

Assessment of the underestimation of childhood diarrhoeal disease burden in Israel.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2011 Sep;139(9):1379-87. doi: 10.1017/S0950268810002554. Epub 2010 Nov 19.

Abstract

We determined the extent by which mandatory reporting on isolates of Shigella and Salmonella underestimates the burden of diarrhoeal diseases in individuals aged <17 years in Israel and examined paediatricians' knowledge, attitudes and practices related to patient visits with diarrhoeal diseases. Sources of data were a nationwide population-based telephone survey for presence of diarrhoeal diseases, Maccabi Healthcare Services databases and a mail survey among its paediatricians. Monte Carlo simulation and rate estimates for all stages, from visit to physician to reporting on a culture-confirmed case of shigellosis or salmonellosis, were used to determine the underestimation factor. Of 1492 children, 5·7% reported a diarrhoeal episode during the 2 weeks prior to interview. The rate of visiting a physician with and without fever was 86% and 16%, respectively. A stool culture was performed for around 20% of patients and the isolation rates were 7·1% for Shigella and 2·1% for Salmonella. Paediatricians (n=214) ranked very young age of patient and the complaint 'bloody diarrhoea' as the most important determinants. We estimated that one reported isolate of Shigella or Salmonella represented 152 diarrhoeal episodes of all aetiologies. This estimate is important for further assessments of the true burden of diarrhoeal diseases.

摘要

我们确定了强制性报告志贺菌和沙门氏菌分离株在多大程度上低估了以色列<17 岁人群腹泻病的负担,并检查了儿科医生与腹泻病就诊相关的知识、态度和实践。数据来源包括全国性基于人群的腹泻病电话调查、Maccabi 医疗保健服务数据库以及对其儿科医生的邮件调查。蒙特卡罗模拟和所有阶段(从就诊到报告文化确诊的志贺菌病或沙门氏菌病病例)的速率估计用于确定低估因素。在 1492 名儿童中,5.7%的儿童在接受采访前两周报告有腹泻发作。有发热和无发热就诊的比例分别为 86%和 16%。大约 20%的患者进行了粪便培养,志贺菌的分离率为 7.1%,沙门氏菌的分离率为 2.1%。儿科医生(n=214)将患者的年龄很小和“血性腹泻”作为最重要的决定因素。我们估计,报告的每一例志贺菌或沙门氏菌分离株代表所有病因的 152 例腹泻发作。这一估计对于进一步评估腹泻病的真实负担很重要。

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