Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Morgan Stanley Children's Hospital of New York, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, New York, USA.
Pediatrics. 2010 Dec;126(6):1074-83. doi: 10.1542/peds.2010-0479. Epub 2010 Nov 22.
There is limited evidence from which to derive guidelines for the management of febrile infants aged 29 to 60 days with urinary tract infections (UTIs). Most such infants are hospitalized for ≥48 hours. Our objective was to derive clinical prediction models to identify febrile infants with UTIs at very low risk of adverse events and bacteremia in a large sample of patients.
This study was a 20-center retrospective review of infants aged 29 to 60 days with temperatures of ≥38°C and culture-proven UTIs. We defined UTI by growth of ≥50,000 colony-forming units (CFU)/mL of a single pathogen or ≥10,000 CFU/mL in association with positive urinalyses. We defined adverse events as death, shock, bacterial meningitis, ICU admission need for ventilator support, or other substantial complications. We performed binary recursive partitioning analyses to derive prediction models.
We analyzed 1895 patients. Adverse events occurred in 51 of 1842 (2.8% [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.1%-3.6%)] and bacteremia in 123 of 1877 (6.5% [95% CI: 5.5%-7.7%]). Patients were at very low risk for adverse events if not clinically ill on emergency department (ED) examination and did not have a high-risk past medical history (prediction model sensitivity: 98.0% [95% CI: 88.2%-99.9%]). Patients were at lower risk for bacteremia if they were not clinically ill on ED examination, did not have a high-risk past medical history, had a peripheral band count of <1250 cells per μL, and had a peripheral absolute neutrophil count of ≥1500 cells per μL (sensitivity 77.2% [95% CI: 68.6%-84.1%]).
Brief hospitalization or outpatient management with close follow-up may be considered for infants with UTIs at very low risk of adverse events.
对于年龄在 29 至 60 天的患有尿路感染(UTI)的发热婴儿,目前仅有有限的证据可以制定管理指南。大多数此类婴儿需要住院治疗≥48 小时。我们的目的是从大量患者中提取临床预测模型,以确定患有 UTI 的发热婴儿发生不良事件和菌血症的风险极低。
这是一项对年龄在 29 至 60 天、体温≥38°C 且培养证实存在 UTI 的婴儿进行的 20 个中心回顾性研究。我们通过单一病原体生长≥50000 个菌落形成单位(CFU)/mL 或与阳性尿液分析相关的≥10000 CFU/mL 来定义 UTI。我们将不良事件定义为死亡、休克、细菌性脑膜炎、需要呼吸机支持的 ICU 入院或其他严重并发症。我们进行了二项递归分割分析以得出预测模型。
我们分析了 1895 名患者。1842 例中有 51 例(2.8%[95%置信区间(CI):2.1%-3.6%])发生不良事件,1877 例中有 123 例(6.5%[95% CI:5.5%-7.7%])发生菌血症。如果在急诊科(ED)检查时患儿无临床症状且无高危既往病史,患儿发生不良事件的风险非常低(预测模型敏感性:98.0%[95% CI:88.2%-99.9%])。如果 ED 检查时患儿无临床症状、无高危既往病史、外周血带计数<1250 个细胞/μL 且外周血绝对中性粒细胞计数≥1500 个细胞/μL,则患儿发生菌血症的风险较低(敏感性 77.2%[95% CI:68.6%-84.1%])。
对于发生不良事件风险极低的 UTI 患儿,可以考虑进行短暂住院或门诊治疗并密切随访。