Unitat de Neuroimmunologia Clinica (UNIC), Edif. Escola d'infermeria planta 2, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Pg Vall d'Hebron 119-129, 08035 Barcelona, Spain.
Neurology. 2010 Nov 23;75(21):1933-8. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0b013e3181feb26f.
Number of baseline lesions has been shown to predict future attacks and disability in clinically isolated syndromes (CIS).
To investigate the role of baseline infratentorial lesions in long-term prognosis.
Subjects were included in a prospective cohort of patients with CIS. Patients underwent brain MRI within 3 months after CIS onset. Number and location of lesions at baseline were prospectively studied. Retrospective scan analysis was conducted to specifically look at number and location of infratentorial lesions. We analyzed the time to a second attack and to reach EDSS 3.0.
We included 246 patients with CIS followed for a median of 7.7 years. Patients with infratentorial lesions had both a higher risk of conversion (71.4% vs 29.6%; hazard ratio [HR] 3.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2-4.8; p < 0.001) and of developing disability (32.5% vs 12.4%; HR 2.4; 95% CI 1.3-4.3; p = 0.003). Presence of at least one cerebellar lesion was associated with an increased risk of conversion (HR 2.4; 95% CI 1.3-4.5; p = 0.007). Presence of at least one brainstem lesion increased both the risk of conversion (HR 2.9; 95% CI 1.7-5.0; p < 0.001) and disability (HR 2.5; 95% CI 1.1-5.4; p = 0.026). Broken down into number of lesions, the presence of infratentorial lesions increased both the risk of conversion (83% vs 61%) (HR 22.3; 95% CI 9.7-51.1; p < 0.001) and of reaching EDSS 3.0 (40% vs 19%) (HR 3.2; 95% CI 1.3-7.4; p = 0.008) only in patients with 9 or more lesions.
Presence of infratentorial lesions increases the risk for disability. Brainstem rather than cerebellar lesions may be responsible for poor prognosis.
基线病变数量已被证明可预测临床孤立综合征(CIS)患者的未来发作和残疾。
探讨基线幕下病变在长期预后中的作用。
本研究纳入了前瞻性队列研究的 CIS 患者。患者在 CIS 发病后 3 个月内行脑部 MRI。前瞻性研究基线时病变的数量和位置。进行回顾性扫描分析,专门观察幕下病变的数量和位置。我们分析了第二次发作和达到 EDSS 3.0 的时间。
我们纳入了 246 例 CIS 患者,中位随访时间为 7.7 年。幕下病变患者的转化风险更高(71.4% vs 29.6%;风险比[HR]3.3;95%置信区间[CI]2.2-4.8;p<0.001),残疾风险更高(32.5% vs 12.4%;HR 2.4;95% CI 1.3-4.3;p=0.003)。至少存在一个小脑病变与转化风险增加相关(HR 2.4;95% CI 1.3-4.5;p=0.007)。至少存在一个脑干病变会增加转化风险(HR 2.9;95% CI 1.7-5.0;p<0.001)和残疾风险(HR 2.5;95% CI 1.1-5.4;p=0.026)。按病变数量划分,幕下病变的存在增加了转化风险(83% vs 61%)(HR 22.3;95% CI 9.7-51.1;p<0.001)和达到 EDSS 3.0 的风险(40% vs 19%)(HR 3.2;95% CI 1.3-7.4;p=0.008),但仅限于存在 9 个或更多病变的患者。
幕下病变的存在增加了残疾的风险。可能是脑干病变而不是小脑病变导致预后不良。