Clinical Trials Centre, Winston Churchill Wing, St Mary's Hospital, London, W2 1NY, UK.
Eur J Neurol. 2011 Mar;18(3):527-34. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-1331.2010.03291.x. Epub 2010 Dec 15.
Data describing the incidence and survival of HIV-related central nervous system diseases (CNS-D) in recent years are sparse.
Between 1996 and 2007, adult subjects without previous CNS-D within a large UK cohort were included (n=30,954). CNS-D were HIV encephalopathy (HIVe), progressive multifocal leucoencephalopathy (PML), cerebral toxoplasmosis (TOXO) and cryptococcal meningitis (CRYP). Associations between demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters with incidence and survival of CNS-D were evaluated using Poisson regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier techniques.
Six hundred and thirteen new CNS-D occurred in 574 subjects (HIVe:187, PML:113, TOXO:184, CRYP:129). Incidence of all CNS-D declined from 13.1 per 1000 PY in 1996/1997 to 1.0 per 1000 PY in 2006/2007 (P=0.0001). Current CD4+ cell count below 200 cells/ul and plasma HIV RNA above 100,000 copies/ml were independently associated with the development of CNS-D. Calendar year 1996/1997, older age, prior AIDS diagnosis and PML diagnosis were significantly associated with shorter survival.
An ongoing decline in the incidence of CNS-D has been observed in very recent years. Mortality following such a diagnosis remains high.
近年来,有关 HIV 相关中枢神经系统疾病(CNS-D)发病率和生存率的数据较为匮乏。
本研究纳入了 1996 年至 2007 年期间英国一个大型队列中无既往 CNS-D 的成年患者(n=30954)。CNS-D 包括 HIV 脑炎(HIVe)、进行性多灶性白质脑病(PML)、脑弓形虫病(TOXO)和隐球菌性脑膜炎(CRYP)。采用泊松回归分析和 Kaplan-Meier 技术评估人口统计学、临床和实验室参数与 CNS-D 发病率和生存率之间的相关性。
574 例患者中发生了 613 例新的 CNS-D(HIVe:187 例,PML:113 例,TOXO:184 例,CRYP:129 例)。所有 CNS-D 的发病率从 1996/1997 年的 13.1/1000 PY 降至 2006/2007 年的 1.0/1000 PY(P=0.0001)。目前 CD4+细胞计数<200 个/μl 和血浆 HIV RNA>100,000 拷贝/ml 与 CNS-D 的发生独立相关。1996/1997 年的日历年度、年龄较大、既往 AIDS 诊断和 PML 诊断与生存率较短显著相关。
近年来,CNS-D 的发病率呈持续下降趋势。此类诊断后的死亡率仍然较高。