Chonnam National University Hospital, Gwangju, South Korea.
Am J Cardiol. 2011 Apr 1;107(7):965-971.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2010.11.018. Epub 2011 Jan 20.
Assessment of risk at time of discharge could be a useful tool for guiding postdischarge management. The aim of this study was to develop a novel and simple assessment tool for better hospital discharge risk stratification. The study included 3,997 hospital-discharged patients with acute myocardial infarction who were enrolled in the nationwide prospective Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry-1 (KAMIR-1) from November 2005 through December 2006. The new risk score system was tested in 1,461 hospital-discharged patients who were admitted from January 2007 through January 2008 (KAMIR-2). The new risk score system was compared to the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) postdischarge risk model during a 12-month clinical follow-up. During 1-year follow-up, all-cause death occurred in 228 patients (5.7%) and 81 patients (5.5%) in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. The new risk score (KAMIR score) was constructed using 6 independent variables related to the primary end point using a multivariable Cox regression analysis: age, Killip class, serum creatinine, no in-hospital percutaneous coronary intervention, left ventricular ejection fraction, and admission glucose based on multivariate-adjusted risk relation. The KAMIR score demonstrated significant differences in its predictive accuracy for 1-year mortality compared to the GRACE score for the developmental and validation cohorts. In conclusion, the KAMIR score for patients with acute myocardial infarction is a simpler and better risk scoring system than the GRACE hospital discharge risk model in prediction of 1-year mortality.
出院时的风险评估可能是指导出院后管理的有用工具。本研究旨在开发一种新的简单评估工具,以更好地对住院患者进行风险分层。该研究纳入了 2005 年 11 月至 2006 年 12 月期间参加全国前瞻性韩国急性心肌梗死登记-1(KAMIR-1)的 3997 例出院的急性心肌梗死患者。新的风险评分系统在 2007 年 1 月至 2008 年 1 月期间入院的 1461 例出院患者中进行了测试(KAMIR-2)。在 12 个月的临床随访期间,新的风险评分系统与全球急性冠状动脉事件登记(GRACE)出院后风险模型进行了比较。在 1 年随访期间,所有原因死亡发生在 228 例患者(5.7%)和 81 例患者(5.5%)中,分别在开发和验证队列中。使用多变量 Cox 回归分析,使用与主要终点相关的 6 个独立变量构建新的风险评分(KAMIR 评分):年龄、Killip 分级、血清肌酐、无院内经皮冠状动脉介入治疗、左心室射血分数和入院时的血糖。KAMIR 评分在预测 1 年死亡率方面与 GRACE 评分相比,在开发和验证队列中均显示出显著差异。总之,对于急性心肌梗死患者,KAMIR 评分是一种比 GRACE 出院风险模型更简单、更准确的风险评分系统,可预测 1 年死亡率。