Nyirenda Makandwe, McGrath Nuala, Newell Marie-Louise
Vulnerable Child Youth Stud. 2010 Sep;5(3):284-296. doi: 10.1080/17450128.2010.507804. Epub 2010 Nov 5.
Using data from a longitudinal surveillance study from rural South Africa, we investigated the odds of sexual debut, pregnancy and HIV infection of 15- to 19-year-old adolescents by parental survival. Using descriptive statistics and logistic regressions, we examine the relative risk of orphans compared with non-orphans to have ever had sex, being pregnant and being HIV infected, adjusting for age, sex, socio-economic status, education, being employed and residency. Of 8274 adolescents, 42% were orphaned (one or both parents died). Over 80% of adolescents remained in school, but orphans were significantly more likely to lag behind in grade for age. Female adolescent maternal (aOR 1.32, 95% CI 1.071.62), paternal (aOR 1.26, 95% CI 1.061.49) and dual (aOR 1.37, 95% CI 1.051.78) orphans were significantly more likely than non-orphaned females to have ever had sex; among males it was only paternal (aOR 1.27, 95% CI 1.051.53) orphans. Maternal (aOR 1.49, 95% CI 1.032.15) and dual (aOR 1.74, 95% CI 1.112.73) female orphans relative to non-orphaned females were significantly more likely to be HIV infected; male paternal (aOR 3.41, 95% CI 1.378.46) and dual (aOR 3.54, 95% CI 1.0611.86) orphans had over three-fold the odds of being infected. There was strong evidence that death of mother for girls was associated with increased vulnerability to earlier sexual debut and HIV infection, while fathers appeared to play a significant role in both their son's and daughter's lives.
利用南非农村地区一项纵向监测研究的数据,我们按父母存活情况调查了15至19岁青少年首次性行为、怀孕和感染艾滋病毒的几率。通过描述性统计和逻辑回归分析,我们检验了孤儿与非孤儿相比曾有过性行为、怀孕和感染艾滋病毒的相对风险,并对年龄、性别、社会经济地位、教育程度、就业情况和居住情况进行了调整。在8274名青少年中,42%为孤儿(父母一方或双方死亡)。超过80%的青少年仍在上学,但孤儿在年龄对应年级上明显更有可能落后。女性青少年中,母亲一方(调整后比值比为1.32,95%置信区间为1.07至1.62)、父亲一方(调整后比值比为1.26,95%置信区间为1.06至1.49)和双亲(调整后比值比为1.37,95%置信区间为1.05至1.78)孤儿比非孤儿女性更有可能曾有过性行为;在男性中,只有父亲一方(调整后比值比为1.27,95%置信区间为1.05至1.53)孤儿有这种情况。相对于非孤儿女性,母亲一方(调整后比值比为1.49,95%置信区间为1.03至2.15)和双亲(调整后比值比为1.74,95%置信区间为1.11至2.73)女性孤儿感染艾滋病毒的可能性明显更高;男性中,父亲一方(调整后比值比为3.41,95%置信区间为1.37至8.46)和双亲(调整后比值比为3.54,95%置信区间为1.06至11.86)孤儿感染几率超过三倍。有充分证据表明,女孩母亲的死亡与更早发生首次性行为和感染艾滋病毒的易感性增加有关,而父亲似乎在儿子和女儿的生活中都起着重要作用。