Center for Public Health Forecasting, National Institute for Public Health and Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
Int J Epidemiol. 2011 Aug;40(4):1056-67. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyr009. Epub 2011 Feb 15.
It is not clear whether recent increases in life expectancy are accompanied by a concurrent postponement of activity limitations. The objective of this study was to give best estimates of the trend in the prevalence of activity limitations among the non-institutionalized population aged 55-84 years over the period 1990-2007 in The Netherlands.
We examined self-reports on 12 measures of moderate or severe activity limitations in stair climbing, walking and getting dressed as assessed by OECD long-term disability questionnaire or Short Form-36 (SF-36) items, using original data from five population-based cross-sectional and longitudinal surveys (n = 54,847 respondents). To account for heterogeneity between surveys, we used meta-analyses to study time trends.
Time trends of 10 out of the 12 activity limitation variables studied were stable. The prevalence of at least moderate activity limitations in stair climbing [odds ratio (OR) = 1.03)] and getting dressed (OR = 1.04) based on OECD items increased over the study period. Age- and gender-stratified time trend analyses showed consistent patterns.
No declines were observed in the prevalence of activity limitations in the Dutch older population over the period 1990-2007. The increase in life expectancy in this period is accompanied by a stable prevalence of most activity limitations.
目前尚不清楚最近预期寿命的延长是否伴随着活动受限的同时推迟。本研究的目的是对荷兰 1990-2007 年间 55-84 岁非住院人群中活动受限的流行趋势做出最佳估计。
我们使用经合组织长期残疾问卷或 SF-36(Short Form-36)项目评估的爬楼梯、行走和穿衣等 12 项中度或重度活动受限的自我报告数据,使用来自五项基于人群的横断面和纵向调查的原始数据(n = 54847 名受访者)。为了考虑到调查之间的异质性,我们使用荟萃分析来研究时间趋势。
在所研究的 12 个活动受限变量中有 10 个的时间趋势是稳定的。基于经合组织项目的爬楼梯(OR = 1.03)和穿衣(OR = 1.04)至少中度活动受限的患病率在研究期间有所增加。按年龄和性别分层的时间趋势分析显示出一致的模式。
在 1990-2007 年间,荷兰老年人群中活动受限的患病率没有下降。在此期间预期寿命的延长伴随着大多数活动受限的患病率稳定。