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活动受限趋势:1990 年至 2007 年荷兰老年人群体。

Trends in activity limitations: the Dutch older population between 1990 and 2007.

机构信息

Center for Public Health Forecasting, National Institute for Public Health and Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Int J Epidemiol. 2011 Aug;40(4):1056-67. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyr009. Epub 2011 Feb 15.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

It is not clear whether recent increases in life expectancy are accompanied by a concurrent postponement of activity limitations. The objective of this study was to give best estimates of the trend in the prevalence of activity limitations among the non-institutionalized population aged 55-84 years over the period 1990-2007 in The Netherlands.

METHODS

We examined self-reports on 12 measures of moderate or severe activity limitations in stair climbing, walking and getting dressed as assessed by OECD long-term disability questionnaire or Short Form-36 (SF-36) items, using original data from five population-based cross-sectional and longitudinal surveys (n = 54,847 respondents). To account for heterogeneity between surveys, we used meta-analyses to study time trends.

RESULTS

Time trends of 10 out of the 12 activity limitation variables studied were stable. The prevalence of at least moderate activity limitations in stair climbing [odds ratio (OR) = 1.03)] and getting dressed (OR = 1.04) based on OECD items increased over the study period. Age- and gender-stratified time trend analyses showed consistent patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

No declines were observed in the prevalence of activity limitations in the Dutch older population over the period 1990-2007. The increase in life expectancy in this period is accompanied by a stable prevalence of most activity limitations.

摘要

背景

目前尚不清楚最近预期寿命的延长是否伴随着活动受限的同时推迟。本研究的目的是对荷兰 1990-2007 年间 55-84 岁非住院人群中活动受限的流行趋势做出最佳估计。

方法

我们使用经合组织长期残疾问卷或 SF-36(Short Form-36)项目评估的爬楼梯、行走和穿衣等 12 项中度或重度活动受限的自我报告数据,使用来自五项基于人群的横断面和纵向调查的原始数据(n = 54847 名受访者)。为了考虑到调查之间的异质性,我们使用荟萃分析来研究时间趋势。

结果

在所研究的 12 个活动受限变量中有 10 个的时间趋势是稳定的。基于经合组织项目的爬楼梯(OR = 1.03)和穿衣(OR = 1.04)至少中度活动受限的患病率在研究期间有所增加。按年龄和性别分层的时间趋势分析显示出一致的模式。

结论

在 1990-2007 年间,荷兰老年人群中活动受限的患病率没有下降。在此期间预期寿命的延长伴随着大多数活动受限的患病率稳定。

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