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荷兰老年人多项功能指标 20 年变化趋势。

Trends across 20 years in multiple indicators of functioning among older adults in the Netherlands.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC - Location VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Department of Sociology, Faculty of Social Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Eur J Public Health. 2019 Dec 1;29(6):1096-1102. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckz065.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Monitoring of trends in functioning of older adults provides indispensable information for health care policy. This study examined trends in multiple indicators of functioning among Dutch older adults across a period of 20 years.

METHODS

Data from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam were used. We included 10 870 observations of 3803 respondents aged 64-84 years across seven waves (1992-12) and 931 observations of 603 respondents aged 85-94 years across four waves (2001-12). At each wave, 8 indicators of functioning were measured: multimorbidity, severe functional limitations, depression, anxiety, cognitive impairment, physical inactivity, loneliness and social isolation. In addition, a sum score (range: 0-8) of these indicators was calculated, with a score of ≥5 indicating 'multiple problems.' Trends in functioning over time were assessed using Generalized Estimating Equation analyses.

RESULTS

In the 64-84-years-olds, the prevalence of multimorbidity increased over time [OR(year) = 1.06, 95% CI = 1.05-1.06], whereas the prevalence of the other indicators decreased [i.e. cognitive impairment, physical inactivity (in women) and loneliness (in women)] or remained stable [i.e. severe functional limitations, depression, anxiety, physical inactivity (in men), loneliness (in men) and social isolation]. In the 85-94-year-olds, the prevalence of severe functional limitations increased over time [OR(year) = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.02-1.13], whereas the prevalence of the other indicators remained stable. In both age groups, the prevalence of 'multiple problems' remained stable.

CONCLUSION

Unfavorable trends were observed in multimorbidity among 64-84-years-olds and in severe functional limitations among 85-94-year-olds. Favorable trends were found in cognitive impairment, physical inactivity (in women) and loneliness (in women) among 64-84-years-olds.

摘要

背景

监测老年人功能变化趋势为医疗保健政策提供了不可或缺的信息。本研究调查了荷兰老年人在 20 年间多项功能指标的变化趋势。

方法

使用阿姆斯特丹纵向老龄化研究的数据。我们纳入了跨越 7 个波次(1992-12 年)的 3803 名 64-84 岁受访者的 10870 次观察和跨越 4 个波次(2001-12 年)的 603 名 85-94 岁受访者的 931 次观察。在每个波次,我们测量了 8 项功能指标:多种合并症、严重功能障碍、抑郁、焦虑、认知障碍、身体不活动、孤独和社会隔离。此外,我们还计算了这些指标的综合评分(范围:0-8),得分≥5 表示“存在多种问题”。我们使用广义估计方程分析评估了随时间推移的功能变化趋势。

结果

在 64-84 岁年龄组中,多种合并症的患病率随时间推移而增加[比值比(OR)(年)=1.06,95%置信区间(CI)=1.05-1.06],而其他指标的患病率则下降[即认知障碍、身体不活动(女性)和孤独(女性)]或保持稳定[即严重功能障碍、抑郁、焦虑、身体不活动(男性)、孤独(男性)和社会隔离]。在 85-94 岁年龄组中,严重功能障碍的患病率随时间推移而增加[OR(年)=1.08,95% CI = 1.02-1.13],而其他指标的患病率保持稳定。在两个年龄组中,“存在多种问题”的患病率均保持稳定。

结论

在 64-84 岁年龄组中观察到多种合并症的不利趋势,在 85-94 岁年龄组中观察到严重功能障碍的不利趋势。在 64-84 岁年龄组中,我们发现认知障碍、身体不活动(女性)和孤独(女性)方面呈现有利趋势。

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