National Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Sex Transm Dis. 2011 Jul;38(7):573-9. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0b013e31820e64fd.
Over the last decade, syphilis epidemics have resurged around the world, particularly among gay men. An innovative public health response could be the use of chemoprophylaxis. We sought out to determine the acceptability of syphilis chemoprophylaxis and its likely population effectiveness if it were adopted.
We conducted a mixed-methods study. An online survey (n = 2095 participants) and focus groups (n = 23 participants) were conducted to determine whether syphilis chemoprophylaxis is likely to be acceptable to gay men in Australia. We also developed an individual-based mathematical model that simulated a population of gay men, to explore the potential impact of introducing chemoprophylaxis.
Of the 2095 gay men surveyed, 52.7% (95% confidence interval, 50.6%-54.8%) indicated that they would be very likely or slightly likely to use chemoprophylaxis to reduce their chance of acquiring syphilis, increasing to 75.8% (95% confidence interval, 74.0%-77.6%) if chemoprophylaxis would help reduce infections in the gay community. In this model, 70% use-effectiveness of chemoprophylaxis used by 50% of gay men is expected to reduce the number of syphilis cases by ∼50% after 12 months and 85% after 10 years. The majority of the prevention efforts can be gained by targeting subpopulations of men with higher sexual activity.
Chemoprophylaxis offers promise as an acceptable and effective intervention for mitigating syphilis epidemics. The outcomes of a planned placebo-controlled syphilis chemoprophylaxis trial are eagerly anticipated.
在过去的十年中,梅毒疫情在全球范围内再次爆发,尤其是在男同性恋者中。一种创新的公共卫生应对措施可能是使用化学预防。我们试图确定梅毒化学预防的可接受性,如果采用这种方法,其可能的人群效果如何。
我们进行了一项混合方法研究。我们进行了一项在线调查(n=2095 名参与者)和焦点小组(n=23 名参与者),以确定梅毒化学预防是否可能被澳大利亚的男同性恋者接受。我们还开发了一个基于个体的数学模型,模拟了一个男同性恋者群体,以探索引入化学预防的潜在影响。
在接受调查的 2095 名男同性恋者中,52.7%(95%置信区间,50.6%-54.8%)表示他们非常有可能或有点可能使用化学预防来降低感染梅毒的几率,如果化学预防有助于减少同性恋社区的感染,这一比例将增加到 75.8%(95%置信区间,74.0%-77.6%)。在这个模型中,70%的化学预防效果,如果 50%的男同性恋者使用,预计在 12 个月后将减少约 50%的梅毒病例,在 10 年后将减少 85%。通过针对性活动较高的亚人群进行预防,可获得大部分预防效果。
化学预防作为减轻梅毒流行的一种可接受和有效的干预措施具有很大的前景。一项计划中的安慰剂对照梅毒化学预防试验的结果备受期待。