KEMRI–Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Bull World Health Organ. 2011 Feb 1;89(2):102-11. doi: 10.2471/BLT.10.080796. Epub 2010 Oct 5.
OBJECTIVE: To explore the relationship between homestead distance to hospital and access to care and to estimate the sensitivity of hospital-based surveillance in Kilifi district, Kenya. METHODS: In 2002-2006, clinical information was obtained from all children admitted to Kilifi District Hospital and linked to demographic surveillance data. Travel times to the hospital were calculated using geographic information systems and regression models were constructed to examine the relationships between travel time, cause-specific hospitalization rates and probability of death in hospital. Access to care ratios relating hospitalization rates to community mortality rates were computed and used to estimate surveillance sensitivity. FINDINGS: The analysis included 7200 admissions (64 per 1000 child-years). Median pedestrian and vehicular travel times to hospital were 237 and 61 minutes, respectively. Hospitalization rates decreased by 21% per hour of travel by foot and 28% per half hour of travel by vehicle. Distance decay was steeper for meningitis than for pneumonia, for females than for males, and for areas where mothers had less education on average. Distance was positively associated with the probability of dying in hospital. Overall access to care ratios, which represent the probability that a child in need of hospitalization will have access to care at the hospital, were 51-58% for pneumonia and 66-70% for meningitis. CONCLUSION: In this setting, hospital utilization rates decreased and the severity of cases admitted to hospital increased as distance between homestead and hospital increased. Access to hospital care for children living in remote areas was low, particularly for those with less severe conditions. Distance decay was attenuated by increased levels of maternal education. Hospital-based surveillance underestimated pneumonia and meningitis incidence by more than 45% and 30%, respectively.
目的:探讨医院距离与可及性之间的关系,并评估肯尼亚基利菲地区基于医院的监测的敏感性。 方法:2002-2006 年,从基利菲区医院收治的所有儿童中获取临床信息,并与人口监测数据进行关联。利用地理信息系统计算到医院的旅行时间,并构建回归模型,以检验旅行时间、特定病因住院率与院内病死率之间的关系。计算了将住院率与社区死亡率相关联的可及性比值,并用于估计监测的敏感性。 发现:该分析包括 7200 例住院(每 1000 儿童年 64 例)。步行和乘车前往医院的中位数时间分别为 237 分钟和 61 分钟。步行每增加 1 小时,住院率下降 21%;乘车每增加半小时,住院率下降 28%。脑膜炎的距离衰减速度快于肺炎,女性快于男性,母亲平均受教育程度较低的地区快于其他地区。距离与院内病死率呈正相关。整体可及性比值(表示需要住院的儿童获得医院治疗的可能性),肺炎为 51%-58%,脑膜炎为 66%-70%。 结论:在这种情况下,随着住家与医院之间的距离增加,医院利用率下降,住院患者的病情严重程度增加。居住在偏远地区的儿童获得医院治疗的机会较低,特别是病情较轻的儿童。母亲受教育程度提高,可减弱距离衰减。基于医院的监测低估了肺炎和脑膜炎的发病率,分别为 45%以上和 30%以上。
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