Departamento de Microbiologia y Parasitologia, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Delegacion Coyoacan, Mexico D.F. 04510, Mexico.
Math Biosci Eng. 2011 Jan;8(1):223-38. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2011.8.223.
In this article, we provide a chronological description of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico from the detection of severe respiratory disease among young adults in central Mexico and the identification of the novel swine-origin influenza virus to the response of Mexican public health authorities with the swift implementation of the National Preparedness and Response Plan for Pandemic Influenza. Furthermore, we review some features of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico in relation to the devastating 1918-1920 influenza pandemic and discuss opportunities for the application of mathematical modeling in the transmission dynamics of pandemic influenza. The value of historical data in increasing our understanding of past pandemic events is highlighted.
本文按时间顺序描述了 2009 年墨西哥 H1N1 流感大流行:从中部墨西哥年轻人中严重呼吸道疾病的检测到新型猪源流感病毒的鉴定,再到墨西哥公共卫生当局迅速实施《大流行性流感国家防备和应对计划》以应对疫情。此外,我们还回顾了墨西哥 2009 年 H1N1 流感大流行的一些特征,以及与 1918-1920 年流感大流行的关系,并讨论了数学建模在大流行性流感传播动力学中的应用机会。本文还强调了历史数据在增加我们对过去大流行事件的理解方面的价值。