Division of Angiology, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Thromb Res. 2011 Jun;127(6):535-9. doi: 10.1016/j.thromres.2011.02.008. Epub 2011 Mar 3.
The original and modified Wells score are widely used prediction rules for pre-test probability assessment of deep vein thrombosis (DVT). The objective of this study was to compare the predictive performance of both Wells scores in unselected patients with clinical suspicion of DVT.
Consecutive inpatients and outpatients with a clinical suspicion of DVT were prospectively enrolled. Pre-test DVT probability (low/intermediate/high) was determined using both scores. Patients with a non-high probability based on the original Wells score underwent D-dimers measurement. Patients with D-dimers < 500 μg/L did not undergo further testing, and treatment was withheld. All others underwent complete lower limb compression ultrasound, and those diagnosed with DVT were anticoagulated. The primary study outcome was objectively confirmed symptomatic venous thromboembolism within 3 months of enrollment.
298 patients with suspected DVT were included. Of these, 82 (27.5%) had DVT, and 46 of them were proximal. Compared to the modified score, the original Wells score classified a higher proportion of patients as low-risk (53 vs 48%; p < 0.01) and a lower proportion as high-risk (17 vs 15%; p = 0.02); the prevalence of proximal DVT in each category was similar with both scores (7-8% low, 16-19% intermediate, 36-37% high). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve regarding proximal DVT detection was similar for both scores, but they both performed poorly in predicting isolated distal DVT and DVT in inpatients.
The study demonstrates that both Wells scores perform equally well in proximal DVT pre-test probability prediction. Neither score appears to be particularly useful in hospitalized patients and those with isolated distal DVT.
原始 Wells 评分和改良 Wells 评分广泛用于深静脉血栓形成(DVT)的预测评分。本研究旨在比较两种 Wells 评分在有 DVT 临床疑似症状的未选择患者中的预测性能。
前瞻性纳入有临床疑似 DVT 的连续住院和门诊患者。使用两种评分确定 DVT 发生前的概率(低/中/高)。根据原始 Wells 评分,非高概率患者行 D-二聚体检测。D-二聚体<500μg/L 的患者不进行进一步检查,且不予治疗。所有其他患者均行下肢完全压迫超声检查,确诊 DVT 者给予抗凝治疗。主要研究结局为纳入后 3 个月内确诊的有症状静脉血栓栓塞症。
共纳入 298 例疑似 DVT 的患者,其中 82 例(27.5%)确诊为 DVT,其中 46 例为近端 DVT。与改良 Wells 评分相比,原始 Wells 评分将更多患者归类为低危(53%比 48%;p<0.01),而将更多患者归类为高危(17%比 15%;p=0.02);两种评分下各分类中近端 DVT 的发生率相似(低危 7-8%,中危 16-19%,高危 36-37%)。两种评分在近端 DVT 检测方面的受试者工作特征曲线下面积相似,但在预测孤立性远端 DVT 和住院患者 DVT 方面效果不佳。
本研究表明,两种 Wells 评分在预测近端 DVT 发生前的概率方面表现相当。两种评分在住院患者和孤立性远端 DVT 患者中均不特别有用。