Centre de Recerca Econòmica, University of the Balearic Islands, Carretera de Valldemossa km 7.5, 07122 Palma de Mallorca, Spain.
Accid Anal Prev. 2011 May;43(3):675-83. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2010.10.011. Epub 2010 Dec 3.
The increase in the number of tourists for many destinations and their increased mobility within host countries or regions has implied a rise in tourism-associated externalities, with vehicle crashes as the most common cause of injury for tourists. Within the transport literature, the number and variation in the amount of accidents has been related to a large set of determining variables, including weather conditions, socio-economic characteristics, exposure, physical characteristics of the road and a variety of dummies that try to capture effects such as safety laws and seasonal variations. However, the presence of tourism has been neglected. Using the case study of the Balearic Islands, the present study estimates the role of tourism in determining the number of accidents in a daily context, using the set of variables suggested by the literature and incorporating a daily measure for the stock of tourists at a host destination. Results show how tourism can be associated with a significant amount of the accidents that take place in the Balearics.
由于许多目的地的游客数量增加,以及他们在接待国或地区内的流动性增加,与旅游相关的外部性也随之增加,而车辆碰撞是游客受伤的最常见原因。在交通文献中,事故数量和变化与大量决定因素有关,包括天气条件、社会经济特征、暴露程度、道路物理特性以及各种试图捕捉安全法规和季节性变化等影响的虚拟变量。然而,旅游业的存在却被忽视了。本研究以巴利阿里群岛为例,使用文献中提出的变量集,并纳入接待地游客存量的每日衡量标准,在日常背景下估计旅游业在决定事故数量方面的作用。研究结果表明,旅游业与巴利阿里群岛发生的大量事故有关。