RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California, USA.
Dev Psychol. 2011 Mar;47(2):577-9; discussion 582-91. doi: 10.1037/a0022564.
Longitudinal research has demonstrated a link between exposure to sexual content in media and subsequent changes in adolescent sexual behavior, including initiation of intercourse and various noncoital sexual activities. Based on a reanalysis of one of the data sets involved, Steinberg and Monahan (2011) have challenged these findings. However, propensity score approaches-especially the version of this method used by Steinberg and Monahan, which lacks covariates-do not necessarily result in more accurate estimates of treatment effects than does the regression with covariates approach employed by prior research. There are also a number of problems with the specific set of analyses presented by Steinberg and Monahan and the conclusion they draw from them. In contrast to Steinberg and Monahan's claim, there is substantial evidence of an association between sexual media exposure and adolescent sexual initiation.
纵向研究表明,青少年接触媒体中的性内容与随后的性行为变化之间存在关联,包括开始性行为和各种非性交性活动。基于对其中一个涉及的数据的重新分析,Steinberg 和 Monahan(2011)对这些发现提出了质疑。然而,倾向得分方法——特别是 Steinberg 和 Monahan 使用的这种方法缺乏协变量——并不一定比之前研究中使用的带有协变量的回归方法更能准确估计处理效果。Steinberg 和 Monahan 提出的具体分析以及他们从中得出的结论也存在一些问题。与 Steinberg 和 Monahan 的说法相反,有大量证据表明性媒体接触与青少年性开始之间存在关联。