Hazard Reduction & Recovery Center, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3137, USA.
Risk Anal. 2011 Oct;31(10):1676-91. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01606.x. Epub 2011 Mar 30.
This study tested a series of models predicting household expectations of participating in hurricane hazard mitigation incentive programs. Data from 599 households in Florida revealed that mitigation incentive adoption expectations were most strongly and consistently related to hazard intrusiveness and risk perception and, to a lesser extent, worry. Demographic and hazard exposure had indirect effects on mitigation incentive adoption expectations that were mediated by the psychological variables. The results also revealed differences in the factors affecting mitigation incentive adoption expectations for each of five specific incentive programs. Overall, the results suggest that hazard managers are more likely to increase participation in mitigation incentive programs if they provide messages that repeatedly (thus increasing hazard intrusiveness) remind people of the likelihood of severe negative consequences of hurricane impact (thus increasing risk perception).
本研究测试了一系列预测家庭参与飓风灾害缓解激励计划的预期的模型。佛罗里达州 599 户家庭的数据显示，缓解激励措施的采用预期与危险入侵和风险感知最密切相关，在较小程度上与担忧有关。人口统计学和危险暴露对缓解激励措施采用预期有间接影响，这些影响是通过心理变量来调节的。结果还揭示了影响五种特定激励计划中每一种激励措施采用预期的因素的差异。总的来说，研究结果表明，如果灾害管理者提供反复的信息（从而增加危险入侵），提醒人们飓风影响可能带来严重负面后果的可能性（从而增加风险感知），那么他们更有可能增加人们对缓解激励计划的参与。
