预测与伦理决策中的后果识别。
Consequences identification in forecasting and ethical decision-making.
作者信息
Stenmark Cheryl K, Antes Alison L, Thiel Chase E, Caughron Jared J, Wang Xiaoqian, Mumford Michael D
机构信息
Department of Psychology, Sociology, and Social Work, Angelo State University, ASU Station #10907, San Angelo, TX 76909-0907, USA.
出版信息
J Empir Res Hum Res Ethics. 2011 Mar;6(1):25-32. doi: 10.1525/jer.2011.6.1.25.
Forecasting involves predicting outcomes based on observations of the situation at hand. We examined the impact of the number and types of consequences considered on the quality of ethical decision-making. Undergraduates role-played several ethical problems in which they forecast potential outcomes and made decisions. Performance pressure (difficult demands placed on the situation) and interpersonal conflict (clashes among people in the problem situation) were manipulated within each problem scenario. The results indicated that the identification of potential consequences was positively associated with both higher quality forecasts and more ethical decisions. Neither performance pressure nor interpersonal conflict affected the quality of forecasts or decisions. Theoretical and practical implications of these findings and the use of this research approach are discussed.
预测涉及根据对当前情况的观察来预测结果。我们研究了所考虑的后果的数量和类型对道德决策质量的影响。本科生对几个道德问题进行角色扮演，在这些问题中他们预测潜在结果并做出决策。在每个问题情境中对绩效压力（对情境提出的艰巨要求）和人际冲突（问题情境中人们之间的冲突）进行了操控。结果表明，潜在后果的识别与更高质量的预测和更符合道德的决策均呈正相关。绩效压力和人际冲突均未影响预测或决策的质量。讨论了这些发现的理论和实际意义以及这种研究方法的应用。
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