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世界卫生组织关于老年人自杀率数据二次分析中的一些关键方法学问题。

Some critical methodological issues in secondary analysis of world health organization data on elderly suicide rates.

作者信息

Shah Ajit

机构信息

International School for Communities, Rights and Inclusion, University of Central Lancashire, Preston, United Kingdom.

出版信息

J Inj Violence Res. 2009 Jul;1(1):7-13. doi: 10.5249/jivr.v1i1.40.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Suicides may be misclassified as accidental deaths in countries with strict legal definitions of suicide, with cultural and religious factors leading to poor registration of suicide and stigma attached to suicide.

METHODS

The concordance between four different definitions of suicides was evaluated by examining the relationship between pure suicide and accidental death rates, gender differences, age-associated trends and potential distil risk and protective factors by conducting secondary analysis of the latest World Health Organisation data on elderly death rates. The four definitions of suicide were: (i) one-year pure suicides rates; one-year combined suicide rates (pure suicide rates combined with accidental death rates); (iii) five-year average pure suicide rates; and (iv) five-year average combined suicides rates (pure suicides rates combined with accidental death rates).

RESULTS

The predicted negative correlation between pure suicide and accidental death rates was not observed. Gender differences were similar for all four definitions of suicide. There was a highly significant concordance for the findings of age-associated trends between one-year pure and combined suicide rates, one-year and five-year average pure suicide rates, and five-year average pure and combined suicide rates. There was poor concordance between pure and combined suicide rates for both one-year and five-year average data for the 14 potential distil risk and protective factors, but this concordance between one-year and five-year average pure suicide rates was highly significant.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of one-year pure suicide rates in cross-national ecological studies examining gender differences, age-associated trends and potential distil risk and protective factors is likely to be practical, pragmatic and resource-efficient.

摘要

背景

在对自杀有严格法律定义的国家,自杀可能会被误分类为意外死亡,文化和宗教因素导致自杀登记不佳以及与自杀相关的污名化。

方法

通过对世界卫生组织最新的老年人死亡率数据进行二次分析,研究纯自杀率与意外死亡率之间的关系、性别差异、年龄相关趋势以及潜在的风险和保护因素,评估四种不同自杀定义之间的一致性。自杀的四种定义分别为:(i)一年期纯自杀率;(ii)一年期综合自杀率(纯自杀率与意外死亡率之和);(iii)五年期平均纯自杀率;以及(iv)五年期平均综合自杀率(纯自杀率与意外死亡率之和)。

结果

未观察到纯自杀率与意外死亡率之间预期的负相关。所有四种自杀定义的性别差异相似。一年期纯自杀率与综合自杀率、一年期与五年期平均纯自杀率以及五年期平均纯自杀率与综合自杀率之间,年龄相关趋势的研究结果具有高度显著的一致性。对于14个潜在的风险和保护因素,一年期和五年期平均数据的纯自杀率与综合自杀率之间的一致性较差,但一年期与五年期平均纯自杀率之间的一致性非常显著。

结论

在跨国生态研究中,使用一年期纯自杀率来研究性别差异、年龄相关趋势以及潜在的风险和保护因素可能是实用、务实且资源高效的。

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