Moak Jeffrey P, Leifer Eric S, Tripodi Dorothy, Mohiddin Saidi A, Fananapazir Lameh
Department of Cardiology, Children's National Medical Center, Washington, DC, USA.
Pediatr Cardiol. 2011 Dec;32(8):1096-105. doi: 10.1007/s00246-011-9967-y. Epub 2011 Apr 13.
Our aim was to identify prognostic factors for an arrhythmic event (AE) in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) without a previous AE. One hundred thirty-one nonconsecutive patients (≤ 20 years) with HCM but no previous AE were evaluated at the NIH Clinical Center from 1980 to 2001. At a median follow-up of 6.4 years, 22 patients experienced an AE [sudden death (SD) (n = 12), resuscitated cardiac arrest (n = 3), clinical sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) (n = 2), and implantable cardiac defibrillator discharge (n = 5)], resulting in a 2% annual AE rate. Baseline factors that were most predictive in univariate risk analysis included ventricular septal thickness (ST) (P = 0.01), VT induction by programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) (P = 0.01), age (P = 0.05), and presyncope/syncope (P = 0.05). In multivariate analysis, ST, age, presyncope/syncope, and PVS were not independently predictive of risk for an AE. However, the 5-year event rates for AE was 15% (95% CI: 5-23%) if ST ≥ 20 mm, 19% (95% CI: 6-31%) when age ≥ 13 years and ST ≥ 20 mm were combined together, and 23% (95% CI: 3-39%) when PVS and ST ≥ 20 mm were combined together. Of the various risk factors that were considered in our pediatric HCM cohort, ST and inducible VT were the most significant univariate predictors of risk for an AE. More traditional risk factors identified in older patients (family history of SD, VT on Holter, and exercise-induced hypotension) were not predictive of an AE in patients age under 21 years.
我们的目标是确定既往无心律失常事件(AE)的肥厚型心肌病(HCM)患儿发生心律失常事件的预后因素。1980年至2001年期间,国立卫生研究院临床中心对131例非连续的HCM患儿(≤20岁)进行了评估,这些患儿既往无AE。中位随访6.4年时,22例患儿发生了AE[猝死(SD)(n = 12)、心脏骤停复苏成功(n = 3)、临床持续性室性心动过速(VT)(n = 2)以及植入式心脏除颤器放电(n = 5)],年AE发生率为2%。单因素风险分析中最具预测性的基线因素包括室间隔厚度(ST)(P = 0.01)、程控心室刺激(PVS)诱发VT(P = 0.01)、年龄(P = 0.05)以及前驱晕厥/晕厥(P = 0.05)。多因素分析中,ST、年龄、前驱晕厥/晕厥和PVS并非AE风险的独立预测因素。然而,如果ST≥20 mm,AE的5年事件发生率为15%(95%CI:5 - 23%);年龄≥13岁且ST≥20 mm时,发生率为19%(95%CI:6 - 31%);PVS且ST≥20 mm时,发生率为23%(95%CI:3 - 39%)。在我们的儿科HCM队列中考虑的各种风险因素中,ST和可诱发的VT是AE风险最显著的单因素预测因素。在年长患者中确定的更传统的风险因素(SD家族史、动态心电图监测发现VT以及运动诱发低血压)在21岁以下患者中并不能预测AE。