Hermann Schubert, Bayern LB, Munich University of Applied Sciences, Germany.
Econ Hum Biol. 2011 Jul;9(3):277-83. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2011.04.003. Epub 2011 Apr 19.
We estimate the trend in average height of the population of the French province Orleans from 1715 to the beginning of the 19th century using data on recruits who were drafted either through a lottery system or through general conscription. After controlling for age, residence, and occupation, we find a general decline in the biological standard of living in the decades before the French Revolution. The results support a Ricardian-Malthusian interpretation of the causes of the French Revolution. In the debate 'Revolution de la misère ou de la prospérité' our findings support the side which argues that the French Revolution was a culmination of a long-lasting economic malaise during the final phases of the Ancien Régime.
我们利用通过抽签系统或普遍征兵招募的新兵数据,估计了法国奥尔良省人口的平均身高趋势,从 1715 年到 19 世纪初。在控制年龄、居住地和职业后,我们发现法国大革命前几十年的生活水平普遍下降。结果支持了对法国大革命原因的李嘉图-马尔萨斯式解释。在“贫困还是繁荣的革命”的辩论中,我们的研究结果支持了这样一种观点,即法国大革命是旧制度最后阶段长期经济困境的高潮。