Department of General-, Visceral-, Vascular- and Paediatric Surgery, University of Saarland, 66421, Homburg/Saar, Germany.
World J Surg. 2011 Sep;35(9):1945-9. doi: 10.1007/s00268-011-1166-8.
The influence of superstition, moon calendars, and popular belief on evidence-based medicine is stunning. More than 40% of medical staff is convinced that lunar phases can affect human behavior. The idea that Friday the 13th is associated with adverse events and bad luck is deep-rooted in the population of Western industrial countries. The aim of the present study was to test the hypothesis that these myths are transferable to real-life surgery.
We analyzed the extent to which moon phases, zodiac signs, and Friday the 13th influence blood loss, emergency frequency, and intestinal perforations by evaluating the operation records of all 27,914 consecutive patients of our institution undergoing general, visceral, or vascular surgery between August 2001 and August 2010. Dates of surgery were allocated to lunar phases and to zodiac signs, as well as to Friday the 13th.
A total of 111 lunar cycles and 15 Fridays the 13th occurred within the 3,281-day observation period. Patients' characteristics did not differ in lunar phases, zodiac signs, or Fridays the 13th. Full moon phases, the presence of Friday the 13th, and zodiac signs influenced neither intraoperative blood loss nor emergency frequency. No statistical peaks regarding perforated aortic aneurysms and gastrointestinal perforations were found on full moon or Friday the 13th.
Scientific analysis of our data does not support the belief that moon phases, zodiac signs, or Friday 13th influence surgical blood loss and emergency frequency. Our data indicate that such beliefs are myths far beyond reality.
迷信、阴历和流行观念对循证医学的影响令人震惊。超过 40%的医务人员相信月相会影响人类行为。星期五 13 日与不良事件和厄运相关的观念在西方工业国家的人群中根深蒂固。本研究的目的是检验这些神话是否可以转移到现实生活中的手术的假设。
我们通过评估 2001 年 8 月至 2010 年 8 月期间我们机构接受普通、内脏或血管手术的所有 27914 例连续患者的手术记录,分析月相、星座和星期五 13 日对出血量、紧急频率和肠穿孔的影响。手术日期被分配到月相和星座,以及星期五 13 日。
在 3281 天的观察期内共出现了 111 个农历周期和 15 个星期五 13 日。患者的特征在月相、星座或星期五 13 日方面没有差异。满月、星期五 13 日的存在以及星座既不会影响术中出血量,也不会影响紧急频率。在满月或星期五 13 日,没有发现穿透性主动脉瘤和胃肠道穿孔的统计高峰。
对我们数据的科学分析不支持月相、星座或星期五 13 日会影响手术出血量和紧急频率的信念。我们的数据表明,这些信念是远远超出现实的神话。