Gastrointestinal, Emerging and Zoonotic Infections Department, Health Protection Services Colindale, Health Protection Agency, London, UK.
Epidemiol Infect. 2012 Apr;140(4):706-15. doi: 10.1017/S0950268811001051. Epub 2011 Jun 21.
We examined non-pregnancy-related listeriosis cases in England and Wales reported to the Health Protection Agency between 1990 and 2009 (n=1864) using unconditional multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify factors independently associated with mortality. A subset analysis of cases between 2005 and 2009 (n=694) investigated the additional effect of antibiotic therapy on survival. In these cases particular malignancies, alcoholism, cardiovascular disease, increasing age, and treatment to reduce gastric acid secretion were positively associated with mortality. The absence of a concurrent condition and presence of autoimmune disease had a protective effect. The subset analysis identified illness in winter or spring as a risk factor and antibiotic therapy as a protective factor for mortality. The impact of antibiotic therapy, seasonality and reduced gastric acid status on survival should be further investigated. Policy-makers and clinicians need to more broadly advise those at risk of contracting this disease and dying as a consequence.
我们使用非条件多变量逻辑回归分析方法,调查了英格兰和威尔士自 1990 年至 2009 年(n=1864)期间向卫生保护局报告的与妊娠无关的李斯特菌病病例,以确定与死亡率相关的独立因素。对 2005 年至 2009 年(n=694)病例的亚组分析研究了抗生素治疗对存活的额外影响。在这些病例中,特定的恶性肿瘤、酗酒、心血管疾病、年龄增长以及减少胃酸分泌的治疗与死亡率呈正相关。没有伴随疾病和自身免疫性疾病的存在具有保护作用。亚组分析确定冬季或春季患病是一个危险因素,抗生素治疗是降低死亡率的保护因素。需要进一步研究抗生素治疗、季节性和胃酸状态降低对存活的影响。政策制定者和临床医生需要更广泛地向那些有患病和因此而死亡风险的人提供建议。