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老年人癫痫持续状态的风险和预后因素:一项病例对照研究。

Risk and prognostic factors of status epilepticus in the elderly: a case-control study.

机构信息

Faculty of Medicine, Paris-Est University, LIC EA 4393, Créteil, France.

出版信息

Epilepsia. 2011 Oct;52(10):1849-56. doi: 10.1111/j.1528-1167.2011.03168.x. Epub 2011 Jul 18.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to assess the risk and prognostic factors of status epilepticus (SE) among elderly inpatients.

METHODS

From May 2003 to April 2005, 63 consecutive patients aged 70 years or older with SE were included. Each patient was matched to three controls without SE seen during the same period. Matching variables were age (±3 years), gender, and comorbidity index (±3). Multivariate logistic regression model were used to compare cases to controls and, among the cases, nonsurvivors to survivors.

KEY FINDINGS

By multivariate analysis, factors independently associated with SE were acute decompensation (cardiac, respiratory, or hepatic) [adjusted odds ratio (OR(a) ) 2.57, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.05-6.25] history of epilepsy (OR(a) 3.93, 95% CI 1.27-12.14), chronic cerebrovascular disease (OR(a) 7.96, 95% CI 3.31-19.15), nonvascular dementia (OR(a) 4.16, 95% CI 1.86-9.29), and dysnatremia (OR(a) 5.08, 95% CI 2.34-11.04). In-hospital 1-month mortality was 2.3 times higher among cases than controls (14/63, 22.0%; 95% CI 12.7-34.5%; vs. 18/189, 9.5%; 95% CI 5.7-14.7%; p = 0.01). Among the cases, factors independently associated with in-hospital death within 1 month were younger age (OR(a) per 1-year increase 0.87, 95% CI 0.76-0.98), higher comorbidity index (OR(a) per 1-point increase 1.27, 95% CI 1.07-1.55), and de novo SE (OR(a) 14.95, 95% CI 2.24-192.8).

SIGNIFICANCE

Independent predictors of SE in hospitalized patients aged 70 years or older were acute decompensation (cardiac, respiratory, or hepatic), history of epilepsy, chronic cerebrovascular disease, nonvascular dementia, and dysnatremia. Factors that independently predicted death in patients with SE were younger age, higher comorbidity index, and de novo SE.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在评估老年住院患者癫痫持续状态(SE)的风险和预后因素。

方法

2003 年 5 月至 2005 年 4 月,纳入 63 例年龄 70 岁或以上的 SE 连续患者。每位患者均与同期未发生 SE 的 3 名对照相匹配。匹配变量为年龄(±3 岁)、性别和合并症指数(±3)。采用多变量逻辑回归模型比较病例与对照组,并在病例中比较幸存者与非幸存者。

主要发现

多变量分析显示,与 SE 相关的独立因素为急性失代偿(心脏、呼吸或肝脏)[校正比值比(OR(a))2.57,95%置信区间(95%CI)1.05-6.25]、癫痫史(OR(a)3.93,95%CI 1.27-12.14)、慢性脑血管病(OR(a)7.96,95%CI 3.31-19.15)、非血管性痴呆(OR(a)4.16,95%CI 1.86-9.29)和电解质紊乱(OR(a)5.08,95%CI 2.34-11.04)。与对照组相比,病例组住院 1 个月的死亡率高 2.3 倍(14/63,22.0%;95%CI 12.7-34.5%;vs. 18/189,9.5%;95%CI 5.7-14.7%;p=0.01)。在病例中,与住院 1 个月内死亡相关的独立因素为年龄较小(每增加 1 岁,OR(a)为 0.87,95%CI 0.76-0.98)、合并症指数较高(每增加 1 分,OR(a)为 1.27,95%CI 1.07-1.55)和新发 SE(OR(a)为 14.95,95%CI 2.24-192.8)。

意义

70 岁或以上住院患者 SE 的独立预测因素为急性失代偿(心脏、呼吸或肝脏)、癫痫史、慢性脑血管病、非血管性痴呆和电解质紊乱。预测 SE 患者死亡的独立因素为年龄较小、合并症指数较高和新发 SE。

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