Genetic and Molecular Epidemiology Group, Human Cancer Genetics Programme, Spanish National Cancer Research Centre (CNIO), Madrid, Spain.
Int J Epidemiol. 2011 Oct;40(5):1342-54. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyr110. Epub 2011 Jul 19.
A previous Australian population-based breast cancer case-control study found indirect evidence that control participation, although high, was not random. We hypothesized that unaffected sisters may provide a more appropriate comparison group than unrelated population controls.
Three population-based case-control-family studies of breast cancer in women of white European origin were carried out by the Australian, Ontario and Northern California sites of the Breast Cancer Family Registry. We compared risk factors between 3643 cases, 2444 of their unaffected sisters and 2877 population controls and conducted separate case-control analyses based on population and sister controls using unconditional multivariable logistic regression.
Compared with sister controls, population controls were more highly educated, had an earlier age at menarche, fewer births, their first birth at a later age and their last birth more recently. The established breast cancer associations detected using sister controls, but not detected using population controls, were decreasing risk with each of later age at menarche, more births, younger age at first birth and greater time since last birth.
Since participation of population controls might be unintentionally related to some risk factors, we hypothesize that sister controls could provide more valid relative risk estimates and be recruited at lower cost. Given declining study participation by population controls, this contention is highly relevant to epidemiologic research.
先前澳大利亚一项基于人群的乳腺癌病例对照研究提供了间接证据,表明对照参与率虽然较高,但并非随机的。我们假设未受影响的姐妹可能比无关的人群对照提供更合适的比较组。
澳大利亚、安大略省和北加利福尼亚州的乳腺癌家族登记处的三个基于人群的乳腺癌病例对照家族研究由澳大利亚、安大略省和北加利福尼亚州的乳腺癌家族登记处进行。我们比较了 3643 例病例、2444 例未受影响的姐妹和 2877 例人群对照之间的危险因素,并使用无条件多变量逻辑回归对基于人群和姐妹对照的病例对照分析进行了单独分析。
与姐妹对照相比,人群对照的受教育程度更高,初潮年龄更早,生育次数更少,首次生育年龄更大,最近一次生育年龄更小。使用姐妹对照检测到的已确立的乳腺癌关联,但未使用人群对照检测到的,是与初潮年龄较晚、生育次数较多、首次生育年龄较小和最近一次生育时间间隔较长相关的风险降低。
由于人群对照的参与可能与某些风险因素无意中相关,因此我们假设姐妹对照可以提供更有效的相对风险估计值,并以更低的成本招募。鉴于人群对照的研究参与率下降,这一论点与流行病学研究密切相关。