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Extrapolation, uncertainty factors, and the precautionary principle.

作者信息

Steel Daniel

机构信息

Department of Philosophy, 503 S Kedzie Hall, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824-1032, USA.

出版信息

Stud Hist Philos Biol Biomed Sci. 2011 Sep;42(3):356-64. doi: 10.1016/j.shpsc.2011.01.002. Epub 2011 Mar 2.

DOI:10.1016/j.shpsc.2011.01.002
PMID:21802639
Abstract

This essay examines the relationship between the precautionary principle and uncertainty factors used by toxicologists to estimate acceptable exposure levels for toxic chemicals from animal experiments. It shows that the adoption of uncertainty factors in the United States in the 1950s can be understood by reference to the precautionary principle, but not by cost-benefit analysis because of a lack of relevant quantitative data at that time. In addition, it argues that uncertainty factors continue to be relevant to efforts to implement the precautionary principle and that the precautionary principle should not be restricted to cases involving unquantifiable hazards.

摘要

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