Centre for Public Health Forecasting, National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
PLoS One. 2011;6(8):e22884. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0022884. Epub 2011 Aug 10.
Depression causes a large burden of disease worldwide. Effective prevention has the potential to reduce that burden considerably. This study aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of minimal contact psychotherapy, based on Lewinsohn's 'Coping with depression' course, targeted at opportunistically screened individuals with sub-threshold depression.
Using a Markov model, future health effects and costs of an intervention scenario and a current practice scenario were estimated. The time horizon was five years. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were expressed in euro per Disability Adjusted Life Year (DALY) averted. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was employed to study the effect of uncertainty in the model parameters. From the health care perspective the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was € 1,400 per DALY, and from the societal perspective the intervention was cost-saving. Although the estimated incremental costs and effects were surrounded with large uncertainty, given a willingness to pay of € 20,000 per DALY, the probability that the intervention is cost-effective was around 80%.
This modelling study showed that opportunistic screening in primary care for sub-threshold depression in combination with minimal contact psychotherapy may be cost-effective in the prevention of major depression.
抑郁症在全球范围内造成了巨大的疾病负担。有效的预防措施有可能显著减轻这一负担。本研究旨在探讨基于莱温松的“应对抑郁”课程的最低接触心理治疗对亚阈抑郁机会性筛查个体的成本效益。
使用马尔可夫模型,估计了干预方案和当前实践方案的未来健康效果和成本。时间范围为五年。增量成本效益比以每避免一个残疾调整生命年(DALY)的欧元表示。采用概率敏感性分析来研究模型参数不确定性的影响。从医疗保健的角度来看,增量成本效益比为每 DALY 1400 欧元,从社会角度来看,干预是节省成本的。尽管估计的增量成本和效果存在很大的不确定性,但如果愿意为每个 DALY 支付 20,000 欧元,那么干预措施具有成本效益的概率约为 80%。
这项建模研究表明,在初级保健中对亚阈抑郁进行机会性筛查,结合最低接触心理治疗,可能在预防重度抑郁症方面具有成本效益。