Research Department of Infection and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2011;6(9):e22807. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0022807. Epub 2011 Sep 13.
The mortality rate from unnatural deaths for South Africa is nearly double the world average. Reliable data are limited by inaccurate and incomplete ascertainment of specific causes of unnatural death. This study describes trends in causes of unnatural death between 1992 and 2008 in a cohort of South African miners.
METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The study used routinely-collected retrospective data with cause of death determined from multiple sources including the mine's human resources database, medical records, death registration, and autopsy. Cause-specific mortality rates and Poisson regression coefficients were calculated by calendar year and age group. The cohort included 40,043 men. One quarter of all 2937 deaths were from unnatural causes (n = 805). Causes of unnatural deaths were road traffic accidents 38% (109/100,000 py), homicides 30% (88/100,000 py), occupational injuries 17% (50/100,000 py), suicides 8% (24/100,000 py), and other accidents 6% (19/100,000 py). Rates of unnatural deaths declined by 2% (95%CI -4%,-1%) per year over the study period, driven by declining rates of road traffic and other accidents. The rate of occupational injury mortality did not change significantly over time (-2% per year, 95%CI -5%,+2%). Unnatural deaths were less frequent in this cohort of workers than in the South African population (IRR 0.89, 95%CI 0.82-0.95), particularly homicides (IRR 0.48, 95%CI 0.42-0.55).
CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Unnatural deaths were a common cause of preventable and premature death in this cohort of miners. While unnatural death rates declined between 1992 and 2008, occupational fatalities remained at a high level. Evidence-based prevention strategies to address these avoidable deaths are urgently needed.
南非的非自然死亡死亡率几乎是世界平均水平的两倍。可靠的数据受到非自然死亡具体原因的不准确和不完整确定的限制。本研究描述了 1992 年至 2008 年期间南非矿工队列中非自然死亡原因的趋势。
方法/主要发现:该研究使用了常规收集的回顾性数据,死因由多个来源确定,包括矿山的人力资源数据库、医疗记录、死亡登记和尸检。按日历年度和年龄组计算特定原因死亡率和泊松回归系数。该队列包括 40,043 名男性。所有 2937 例死亡中有四分之一(2937/40043*100%=7.33%)是由非自然原因造成的(n=805)。非自然死亡的原因是道路交通事故 38%(109/100,000py),凶杀案 30%(88/100,000py),职业伤害 17%(50/100,000py),自杀 8%(24/100,000py),其他事故 6%(19/100,000py)。在研究期间,非自然死亡的发生率每年下降 2%(95%CI-4%,-1%),这主要是由于道路交通事故和其他事故发生率的下降。职业伤害死亡率在这段时间内没有明显变化(每年下降 2%,95%CI-5%,+2%)。与南非人口相比,该工人队列中非自然死亡的发生率较低(IRR 0.89,95%CI 0.82-0.95),特别是凶杀案(IRR 0.48,95%CI 0.42-0.55)。
结论/意义:非自然死亡是该矿工队列中可预防和过早死亡的常见原因。虽然 1992 年至 2008 年间非自然死亡率有所下降,但职业性死亡仍处于较高水平。迫切需要制定基于证据的预防策略来解决这些可避免的死亡。