Relationship of uterine contractility to preterm labor.

An increased uterine contraction rate is associated with preterm labor. The contraction rate in individual patients, however, has not been evaluated critically as to its predictive value in forecasting early labor. In this randomized multicenter study, 105 patients at high risk for preterm delivery monitored their contraction rate at home on a daily basis. An analysis was conducted to determine the association of at least four contractions per hour on a routine strip followed by at least four contractions per hour on a repeat tracing with subsequent preterm labor. Using this threshold, 70% of the patients were correctly classified. This contraction rate resulted in a sensitivity of 57%, a specificity of 80%, a positive predictive value of 72%, and a negative predictive value of 68%. A threshold rate of at least four contractions per hour on a remonitor strip identifies a patient at increased risk for preterm labor (P = .003).