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模拟西澳大利亚雨养麦田中氮肥施用和气候变异性对 N2O 排放的响应。

Simulating response of N2O emissions to fertiliser N application and climatic variability from a rain-fed and wheat-cropped soil in Western Australia.

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Agro-ecological Processes in Subtropical Region, Institute of Subtropical Agriculture, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hunan, China.

出版信息

J Sci Food Agric. 2012 Mar 30;92(5):1130-43. doi: 10.1002/jsfa.4643. Epub 2011 Sep 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Besides land management and soil properties, nitrous oxide (N(2)O) emissions from the soil may be responsive to climatic variation. In this study the Water and Nitrogen Management Model (WNMM) was calibrated and validated to simulate N(2)O emissions from a rain-fed and wheat-cropped system on a sandy duplex soil at Cunderdin, Western Australia, from May 2005 to May 2007, then it was deployed to simulate N(2)O emissions for seven scenarios of fertiliser N application under various climatic conditions (1970-2006).

RESULTS

The WNMM satisfactorily simulated crop growth, soil water content and mineral N contents of the surface soil (0-10 cm), soil temperatures at depths and N(2)O emissions from the soil compared with field observations in two fertiliser treatments during calibration and validation. About 70% of total N(2)O emissions were estimated as nitrification-induced. The scenario analysis indicated that the WNMM-simulated annual N(2)O emissions for this rain-fed and wheat-cropped system were significantly correlated with annual average minimum air temperature (r = 0.21), annual pan evaporation (r = 0.20) and fertiliser N application rate (r = 0.80). Both annual rainfall and wheat yield had weak and negative correlations with annual N(2)O emissions. Multiple linear regression models for estimating annual N(2)O emissions were developed to account for the impacts of climatic variation (including temperature and rainfall), fertiliser N application and crop yield for this rain-fed and wheat-cropped system in Western Australia, which explained 64-74% of yearly variations of the WNMM-estimated annual N(2) O emissions.

CONCLUSION

The WNMM was tested and capable of simulating N(2) O emissions from the rain-fed and wheat-cropped system. The inclusion of climatic variables as predictors in multiple linear regression models improved their accuracy in predicting inter-annual N(2)O emissions.

摘要

背景

除了土地管理和土壤特性外,土壤中的氧化亚氮(N2O)排放可能对气候变化有响应。本研究利用水分和氮素管理模型(WNMM),对澳大利亚西部坎德林一个雨养和小麦种植砂质双层土壤系统 2005 年 5 月至 2007 年 5 月的 N2O 排放进行了校准和验证,然后利用该模型对 1970 年至 2006 年不同气候条件下不同施氮量处理的 7 种情景进行了 N2O 排放模拟。

结果

校准和验证期间,在 2 种施肥处理下,WNMM 对作物生长、表层土壤(0-10cm)水分含量和矿质氮含量、土壤温度和土壤 N2O 排放的模拟结果与田间观测值吻合较好。估计有 70%的 N2O 排放来自硝化作用。情景分析表明,该雨养和小麦种植系统的 WNMM 模拟年 N2O 排放量与年平均最低空气温度(r=0.21)、年蒸发皿蒸发量(r=0.20)和施氮量(r=0.80)显著相关。年降雨量和小麦产量与年 N2O 排放量呈弱负相关。为了考虑气候变异(包括温度和降雨量)、施氮量和作物产量对西澳大利亚雨养和小麦种植系统的影响,建立了估计该系统年 N2O 排放量的多元线性回归模型,解释了 WNMM 模拟的年 N2O 排放量的 64%-74%的年际变化。

结论

WNMM 已通过测试,能够模拟雨养和小麦种植系统的 N2O 排放。在多元线性回归模型中,将气候变量作为预测因子,可以提高其预测年际 N2O 排放量的准确性。

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